WNBA · Aug 6 gameAll props Full sheet

Los Angeles Sparks at Minnesota Lynx

FinalLAS 89 – MIN 82Page updated 02:07 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

All 1 saved picks graded.

Better-price comparison unavailable.

Saved picks

1Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 1 availability alert

Out Kosu · earlier listed as unlisted

3 players have a playing-time concern in the available estimates. Cannon, Williams, McBride, Collier, Miles have repeated minutes estimates. These may be source defaults; individual provenance is unavailable. Recent-minute comparisons cover 6 of 20 estimates.

Hamby: expected to play 31 minutes, averaged 24.9 in the last 5 games, about 6.1 more than usual

Wheeler: expected to play 26 minutes, averaged 17.9 in the last 5 games, about 8.1 more than usual

Atkins: expected to play 29 minutes, averaged 22.3 in the last 5 games, about 6.7 more than usual

Cameron BrinkOver 9.5 points

WonActual 12

Posted odds2.04Details

Why this pick?

This selection appears on the published card. A player-specific explanation is not supplied in this saved record.

Investigate Cameron’s points

Price evidence

The multi-book price comparison is unavailable in this view.

Posted odds: 2.04. Last price before tip: 2.06.

Recorded result: +1.04 per 1 staked.

No completed pre-tip price re-check is recorded here.

Price movement history is unavailable for this line.

Stake and record policy

The published pick carries a model-sized stake of 2.00 units. Results/Ledger grades its eligible CORE signals at a flat 1 unit; that population can include more signals than this game’s card.

No completed pre-tip price re-check recorded for these picks.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Kosu · earlier listed as unlisted · Thu 22:00 UTC · 1, 7 and 2 min in the last 3 games

Players and minutes20 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Los Angeles Sparks

Rae Burrell · 32 min expected

points 16.5 → 17 actual

Dearica Hamby · 31 min expected

points 15.5 → 16 actual

Ariel Atkins · 29 min expected

points 10.5 → 7 actual

Nneka Ogwumike · 29 min expected

points 18.5 → 16 actual

Erica Wheeler · 26 min expected

points 9.5 → 12 actual

Cameron Brink · 18 min expected

points 9.5 → 12 actual

5 more players · no line in this feed

Monique Akoa Makani15 min · source estimate

Jihyun Park13 min · source estimate

Chance Gray7 min · source estimate

Emma Cannon2 min · source estimate

Kiana Williams2 min · source estimate

Minnesota Lynx

9 players · no line in this feed

Kayla McBride30 min · source estimate

Napheesa Collier30 min · source estimate

Olivia Miles30 min · source estimate

Courtney Williams29 min · source estimate

Natasha Howard26 min · source estimate

Dorka Juhasz16 min · source estimate

Maya Caldwell16 min · source estimate

Nia Brodie14 min · source estimate

Antonia Delaere9 min · source estimate

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 02:07 UTC

Who is out

Out Kosu · earlier listed as unlisted (changed Thu 22:00 UTC) · 1, 7 and 2 min in the last 3 games

Bibby · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sat 02:00 UTC) · 3, 11 and 26 min in the last 3 games

King · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sat 20:45 UTC) · 9, 20 and 1 min in the last 3 games

Pili · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Sun 06:00 UTC) · 16, 6 and 2 min in the last 3 games

Cannon · earlier listed as may not play, now available (changed Wed 23:30 UTC) · 13, 13 and 12 min in the last 3 games

Martin · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Fri 21:15 UTC) · 9, 17 and 5 min in the last 3 games

K. Williams (LAS) · did not play last game

Morgan · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Tue 01:00 UTC) · 21, 18 and 21 min in the last 3 games

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

Hamby: expected to play 31 minutes, averaged 24.9 in the last 5 games, about 6.1 more than usual

Wheeler: expected to play 26 minutes, averaged 17.9 in the last 5 games, about 8.1 more than usual

Atkins: expected to play 29 minutes, averaged 22.3 in the last 5 games, about 6.7 more than usual

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

LAS had 44 days off before this game · MIN had 39 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 11 of the 56 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Kosu out (Thu 22:00 UTC) · did not play

Flagged before the game: Bibby out (Sat 02:00 UTC) · did not play

Flagged before the game: King out (Sat 20:45 UTC) · did not play

Flagged before the game: Pili out (Sun 06:00 UTC) · did not play

Flagged before the game: Cannon out (Wed 23:30 UTC) · did not play

Flagged before the game: Martin out (Fri 21:15 UTC) · did not play

Flagged before the game: K. Williams (LAS) out · did not play

Flagged before the game: Morgan out (Tue 01:00 UTC) · did not play

2 expected players did not play

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 0 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

Final · 1 of 1 pick won1 won, 0 lost · +1.04 if you had staked 1 on each · our prices on average 0.5% lower than the last before the start · checked Sun 01:52 UTC

Cameron Brink · points 9.5 → 12 · 2.5 above the line · played 25.1 min (18 expected) · Way Off Outlier · Tactical Rotation Shift

Pick: Over 9.5 at 2.04 → Won +1.04 per 1 staked

5 other players with a posted line

Ariel Atkins · points 10.5 → 7 · 3.5 below the line · played 28.8 min (29 expected) · Super Close Lock · Lineup & Game Script Held · no final price

Erica Wheeler · points 9.5 → 12 · 2.5 above the line · played 29.6 min (26 expected) · Within Calibrated Band · Normal Rotation Variance · no final price

Nneka Ogwumike · points 18.5 → 16 · 2.5 below the line · played 30.2 min (29 expected) · Super Close Lock · Lineup & Game Script Held · no final price

Dearica Hamby · points 15.5 → 16 · 0.5 above the line · played 24.7 min (31 expected) · Within Calibrated Band · Normal Rotation Variance · no final price

Rae Burrell · points 16.5 → 17 · 0.5 above the line · played 27.6 min (32 expected) · Within Calibrated Band · Normal Rotation Variance · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs LAS · last 18 games · MIN leads · MIN record 15–3 · average score 83.4–76.0 · MIN has won by 7.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

6 Aug · LAS 89 at MIN 82MIN lost

15 Jul · LAS 87 at MIN 96MIN won

17 Jun · MIN 99 at LAS 83MIN won

What each defense gives up per game

LAS gives up91.3 points · 35.5 rebounds · 22.2 assists · 8.9 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 47.2% of shots · 33.6% from three-point range · 13.9 opponent turnovers

MIN gives up83.9 points · 33.4 rebounds · 20.5 assists · 9.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 43.7% of shots · 33.3% from three-point range · 14.5 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

LAS gives up 91.3 points a game · 14th of 15 · league average 87.0+4.3 vs average

MIN gives up 83.9 points a game · 4th of 15 · league average 87.0−3.1 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 1

Cameron Brink · O 9.5 points+104value_edge_pct +10.72 · kelly 2.00u · price_check unchecked · rank 1

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 1

Cameron Brink Over 9.5 PTSWIN +1.04ubet +104 → close +106 · CLV −0.5¢ · bet_clv:251828 · consensus_devig · captured 2026-08-06T00:00:00Z · grade_v2 C · p_hit 54.3% · actual 12 · 25.1 min · started

Data fetches · 35

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 36 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 39 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 59 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 91 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 92 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 95 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 120 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 134 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 169 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 179 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 215 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 40 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 223 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 225 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 227 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 230 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 167 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 187 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 149 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 150 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 164 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 166 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 169 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 173 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 188 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 190 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 211 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 215 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 228 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 232 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 265 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 523 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.