WNBA · Aug 25 gameAll props Full sheet

Portland Fire at Dallas Wings

FinalPOR 78 – DAL 96Page updated 22:19 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 4 availability alerts

Out James · left leg · DAL

Out C. Williams (DAL) · coach'sdecision

Out Jones · coach'sdecision · DAL

Out Feagin · left knee · POR

1 player has a playing-time concern in the available estimates. Harrison, Oblak have repeated minutes estimates. These may be source defaults; individual provenance is unavailable. Recent-minute comparisons cover 12 of 20 estimates.

Puoch: expected to play 20 minutes, averaged 26.7 in the last 5 games, about 6.7 fewer than usual

We checked 0 lines; none paid at least 1.70, so there are no picks. Normal, not an error.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer for the same line is the only thing on this page that, measured over many past bets, made money; player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out James · left leg · DAL

Out C. Williams (DAL) · coach'sdecision

Out Jones · coach'sdecision · DAL

Out Feagin · left knee · POR

Players and minutes21 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Portland Fire

SBridget Carleton · 33 min expected

points 15.5 → 14 actual

SCarla Leite · 30 min expected

points 16.5 → 10 actual

SMegan DiLeo · 28 min expected

points 14.5 → 13 actual

SEmily Engstler · 27 min expected

points 9.5 → 12 actual

SNyadiew Puoch · 20 min expected

points 5.5 → 0 actual

Frieda Buhner · 17 min expected

points 5.5 → 10 actual

Karlie Samuelson · 17 min expected

points 5.5 → 14 actual

4 more players · no line in this feed

Holly Winterburn14 min · source estimate

Jordan Harrison7 min · source estimate

Teja Oblak7 min · source estimate

Serah WilliamsOut · N/a

Dallas Wings

SPaige Bueckers · 33 min expected

points 20.5 → 22 actual

SArike Ogunbowale · 32 min expected

points 17.5 → 17 actual

SJessica Shepard · 30 min expected

points 15.5 → 21 actual

SAlanna Smith · 27 min expected

points 9.5 → 10 actual

SAwak Kuier · 26 min expected

points 8.5 → 12 actual

Maddy Siegrist · 16 min expected

points 6.5 → 9 actual

4 more players · no line in this feed

Alysha Clark21 min · source estimate

Sug Sutton8 min · source estimate

Odyssey Sims6 min · source estimate

Li Yueru1 min · source estimate

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DAL expected to win by about 9 · both teams together expected to score about 177.5 points · odds to win: POR 4.11, DAL 1.26

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 00:04 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 22:19 UTC

Who is out

Laksa · earlier listed as out, now available (changed Wed 23:30 UTC) · 15, 6 and 9 min in the last 3 games

S. Williams (POR) · earlier listed as may not play, now available (changed Fri 22:45 UTC) · 8, 15 and 16 min in the last 3 games

Out James · left leg · DAL

Out C. Williams (DAL) · coach'sdecision

Out Jones · coach'sdecision · DAL

Out Feagin · left knee · POR

Lineups

Starting lineup confirmed (Wed 00:00 UTC) · RotoWire, a lineup news service, as of game start

Playing time

Puoch: expected to play 20 minutes, averaged 26.7 in the last 5 games, about 6.7 fewer than usual

Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.

Rest

POR had 11 days off before this game · DAL also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 18 of the 142 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

Looking back

Flagged before the game: Laksa out (Wed 23:30 UTC) · did not play

Flagged before the game: S. Williams (POR) out (Fri 22:45 UTC) · did not play

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below · checked Fri 00:52 UTC

13 other players with a posted line

Karlie Samuelson · points 5.5 → 14 · 8.5 above the line · played 18.8 min (17 expected) · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.17, Under 1.66

Nyadiew Puoch · points 5.5 → 0 · 5.5 below the line · played 18 min (20 expected) · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.07, Under 1.72

Frieda Buhner · points 5.5 → 10 · 4.5 above the line · played 16.9 min (17 expected) · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Awak Kuier · points 8.5 → 12 · 3.5 above the line · played 33.6 min (26 expected) · DraftKings odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.77

Carla Leite · points 16.5 → 10 · 6.5 below the line · played 26.9 min (30 expected) · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.84, Under 1.90

Maddy Siegrist · points 6.5 → 9 · 2.5 above the line · played 20.2 min (16 expected) · no final price

Jessica Shepard · points 15.5 → 21 · 5.5 above the line · played 34.1 min (30 expected) · Pinnacle odds: Over 2.02, Under 1.74

Emily Engstler · points 9.5 → 12 · 2.5 above the line · played 30.2 min (27 expected) · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.87

Megan DiLeo · points 14.5 → 13 · 1.5 below the line · played 28 min (28 expected) · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.82

Bridget Carleton · points 15.5 → 14 · 1.5 below the line · played 30.1 min (33 expected) · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.99, Under 1.77

Paige Bueckers · points 20.5 → 22 · 1.5 above the line · played 32.8 min (33 expected) · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.63, Under 2.20

Alanna Smith · points 9.5 → 10 · 0.5 above the line · played 24.3 min (27 expected) · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.89, Under 1.85

Arike Ogunbowale · points 17.5 → 17 · 0.5 below the line · played 33.1 min (32 expected) · Pinnacle odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.85

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs POR · last 3 games · DAL leads · DAL record 2–1 · average score 93.3–86.3 · DAL has won by 7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

25 Aug · POR 78 at DAL 96DAL won

22 Jul · DAL 101 at POR 97DAL won

13 Jun · DAL 83 at POR 84DAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

POR gives up91.0 points · 34.0 rebounds · 22.9 assists · 9.3 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 46.4% of shots · 35.0% from three-point range · 13.6 opponent turnovers

DAL gives up85.8 points · 33.4 rebounds · 19.9 assists · 8.4 three-pointers scored against them · opponents make 44.7% of shots · 33.9% from three-point range · 11.6 opponent turnovers

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

POR gives up 91.0 points a game · 13th of 15 · league average 87.2+3.9 vs average

DAL gives up 85.8 points a game · 5th of 15 · league average 87.2about league average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DAL expected to win by 7.5, expected total 177 (Mon 18:50 UTC) and later DAL expected to win by 9, expected total 177.5 (Wed 00:04 UTC).

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 53

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 15 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 14 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 18 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 19 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 20 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 100 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 104 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 111 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 113 ms

sds injuries/date/{date}ok 200 · 121 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 328 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 473 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 543 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 71 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 162 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 319 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 186 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 248 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 249 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 251 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 340 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 347 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 350 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 354 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 357 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 358 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 365 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 376 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 390 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 394 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 399 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 401 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 408 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 411 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 415 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 418 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 423 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 977 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 721 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 740 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 843 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 844 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 846 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 847 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1065 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1067 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1068 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1069 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1070 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1118 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.