PDX · G · 2026 season

Karlie Samuelson

32 games played · averaging 4.8 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 4.5 · POINTS · 2021–2026

HIT RATE61.1%69 of 113 games

INTERVAL51.8%–69.5%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN-157at that rate

AT THE FLOOR-108if the rate is 51.8%

Karlie has cleared 4.5 points in 61.1% of 113 games since 2021, and in 40.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs -157 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price. See the full breakdown →

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-09-22

GSV

HOME

19.3MIN

0POINTS

2 · 3 · 0-4

BELOW

FG: 0-4
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 14.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -16
PRA: 5

2026-09-20

LAS

AWAY

19.2MIN

8POINTS

2 · 1 · 2-7

ABOVE

FG: 2-7
3PT: 1-6
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 45.7
USG%: 21.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 5
+/−: -15
PRA: 11

2026-09-18

GSV

AWAY

18.5MIN

3POINTS

2 · 0 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 0-3
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 33.8
USG%: 11.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -20
PRA: 5

2026-09-17

PHO

HOME

28.0MIN

14POINTS

1 · 2 · 4-10

ABOVE

FG: 4-10
3PT: 2-6
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 59.5
USG%: 19.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +6
PRA: 17

2026-08-30

GSV

HOME

16.4MIN

0POINTS

2 · 1 · 0-4

BELOW

FG: 0-4
3PT: 0-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 11.8
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -4
PRA: 3

2026-08-28

ATL

AWAY

8.9MIN

0POINTS

2 · 0 · 0-2

BELOW

FG: 0-2
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 10.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +10
PRA: 2

2026-08-25

DAL

AWAY

18.8MIN

14POINTS

1 · 0 · 4-6

ABOVE

FG: 4-6
3PT: 2-4
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 90.2
USG%: 18.2
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: +8
PRA: 15

2026-08-23

WAS

HOME

14.3MIN

0POINTS

1 · 0 · 0-4

BELOW

FG: 0-4
3PT: 0-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 12.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -2
PRA: 1

2026-08-21

TOR

AWAY

17.7MIN

3POINTS

3 · 1 · 1-5

BELOW

FG: 1-5
3PT: 1-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/1
TS%: 30.0
USG%: 12.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -10
PRA: 7

2026-08-16

PHO

AWAY

16.8MIN

8POINTS

4 · 0 · 2-6

ABOVE

FG: 2-6
3PT: 1-5
FT: 3-5
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 48.8
USG%: 24.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +4
PRA: 12

2026-08-14

SEA

AWAY

15.3MIN

3POINTS

2 · 1 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 1-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 37.5
USG%: 11.2
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +1
PRA: 6

2026-08-12

MIN

HOME

15.6MIN

5POINTS

0 · 1 · 1-4

ABOVE

FG: 1-4
3PT: 1-3
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 51.2
USG%: 13.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -4
PRA: 6

2026-08-08

SEA

HOME

17.0MIN

9POINTS

3 · 0 · 3-4

ABOVE

FG: 3-4
3PT: 3-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 112.5
USG%: 11.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +4
PRA: 12

2026-08-06

TOR

HOME

18.9MIN

6POINTS

2 · 1 · 2-4

ABOVE

FG: 2-4
3PT: 2-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 13.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +13
PRA: 9

2026-08-02

LAS

HOME

18.9MIN

2POINTS

2 · 1 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 33.3
USG%: 6.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -6
PRA: 5

2026-07-31

IND

HOME

18.6MIN

13POINTS

4 · 2 · 3-8

ABOVE

FG: 3-8
3PT: 3-8
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 66.6
USG%: 22.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 4
+/−: -2
PRA: 19

2026-07-28

LVA

AWAY

18.8MIN

3POINTS

1 · 2 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/0
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 6.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -17
PRA: 6

2026-07-22

DAL

HOME

20.1MIN

10POINTS

0 · 1 · 3-3

ABOVE

FG: 3-3
3PT: 2-2
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 128.9
USG%: 9.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 4
+/−: +5
PRA: 11

2026-07-16

WAS

AWAY

13.4MIN

3POINTS

1 · 1 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 1-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 37.5
USG%: 21.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: +11
PRA: 5

2026-07-14

CON

AWAY

15.5MIN

8POINTS

0 · 0 · 2-2

ABOVE

FG: 2-2
3PT: 2-2
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 138.9
USG%: 8.8
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +3
PRA: 8

2026-07-11

ATL

AWAY

8.2MIN

0POINTS

0 · 0 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 5.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -6
PRA: 0

2026-07-09

LVA

HOME

11.1MIN

0POINTS

0 · 0 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 0.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -26
PRA: 0

2026-06-24

CHI

AWAY

14.7MIN

6POINTS

2 · 0 · 2-3

ABOVE

FG: 2-3
3PT: 2-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 9.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -15
PRA: 8

2026-06-17

SEA

HOME

17.3MIN

10POINTS

1 · 0 · 3-6

ABOVE

FG: 3-6
3PT: 2-5
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/0
TS%: 72.7
USG%: 17.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -4
PRA: 11

2026-06-13

DAL

HOME

14.0MIN

0POINTS

2 · 3 · 0-3

BELOW

FG: 0-3
3PT: 0-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 10.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 4
+/−: -3
PRA: 5

2026-06-11

LVA

HOME

11.8MIN

1POINTS

1 · 2 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 26.6
USG%: 11.9
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -3
PRA: 4

2026-06-07

LAS

AWAY

11.3MIN

6POINTS

1 · 0 · 1-3

ABOVE

FG: 1-3
3PT: 0-2
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 1/0
TS%: 63.0
USG%: 17.4
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -2
PRA: 7

2026-06-05

PHO

HOME

19.4MIN

13POINTS

3 · 1 · 4-5

ABOVE

FG: 4-5
3PT: 4-5
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 119.5
USG%: 13.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +11
PRA: 17

2026-06-02

GSV

AWAY

11.9MIN

2POINTS

0 · 1 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 0-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 25.0
USG%: 20.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +3
PRA: 3

2026-05-29

ATL

HOME

19.0MIN

0POINTS

3 · 1 · 0-2

BELOW

FG: 0-2
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 7.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -15
PRA: 4

2026-05-27

CON

HOME

11.6MIN

0POINTS

0 · 1 · 0-2

BELOW

FG: 0-2
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 8.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +6
PRA: 1

2026-05-25

NYL

AWAY

12.8MIN

2POINTS

1 · 1 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 0-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 25.0
USG%: 13.4
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -4
PRA: 4

every game on file — nothing hidden