Picks and prices
Odds of at least 1.70 only · highest odds first · results checkedA line is the number a bookmaker sets, e.g. 13.5 points; Over means more than it, Under fewer. Odds 1.93 pay 1.93 for every 1 staked. 'Posted at' is the price we found when we published the pick; after the game it is compared with the last price before the start.
M. Timpson · Over 13.5 points + reboundsLost▸Posted at 2.40 · last price before start 2.00Lost −1.00 per 1 staked
Posted at 2.40 · Our price was 8.3% higher than the last price before the start (good: a higher price pays more per 1 staked).
Pinnacle, the reference bookmaker, does not offer this line
No price history for this line.
Re-checked 1 h before the start not re-checked
This published pick uses a model-sized stake of 2.00 units. The public Results/Ledger CORE benchmark grades each eligible priced signal at a flat 1 unit and can cover more signals than this game card.
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In our past tests, simply taking the highest price offered for a line earned more than any of our own forecasts did.
In that test (25 Aug 2026), taking the best price returned about 2.8 more for every 100 staked than the price we posted did.
The players
Full player-line feed has no entries in this view · 21 rostered players. 6 published picks use separate saved records.Rate: the share of this season's games in which the player finished above tonight's line. S beside a name marks an expected starter.
Context only A player's rate describes the past; it is not a tip and has not been tested as one. Expected minutes come from RotoWire, a lineup news service.
Sign in to see each player's rate The numbers below (for example 15.5 points) are the lines the bookmakers actually posted.
Las Vegas Acesplaying IND
10 players have no line from any bookmaker: Wilson (33 expected minutes) · Young (33 min) · +8 more
Indiana Feverplaying LVA
11 players have no line from any bookmaker: Clark (34 expected minutes) · Mitchell (34 min) · +9 more
Original forecast · corrected actuals
What did we expect, and what happened?
This reads the saved pre-tip model. Today’s rosters, injuries and model changes do not rewrite it.
Reading the immutable pre-tip record…
What could go wrong
updatedVanSlooten · did not play last game
Russell · did not play last game
Out Evans · right knee · LVA
Out Harris · left leg · IND
Starting lineup confirmed () · RotoWire, a lineup news service, as of game start
For 4 players (Wilson, Young, Hull, Cunningham) we have no real minutes estimate, only a default.
Our check: these minute estimates (RotoWire) are typically off by about 4 minutes.
LVA had 31 days off before this game · IND had 39 days off before this game.
Full player-line feed has no entries in this view. 6 published picks use separate saved records.
Flagged before the game: VanSlooten out · did not play
Flagged before the game: Russell out · did not play
2 expected players did not play
When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.
What happened
One game proves nothing.No player-line entries were captured in this roster view.
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Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.
▸More context
IND vs LVA · last 24 games · LVA leads · IND record 7–17 · average score 82.0–86.0 · IND has lost by 4.1 on average
Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.
Pinnacle first had IND expected to win by 1, expected total 183.5 () and later IND expected to win by 1, expected total 183 ().
▸Data log (technical)
▸Classic view →
The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.