LVA · PF · 2026 season

A'ja Wilson

41 games played · averaging 26.2 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line. 1 exhibition game excluded.

OVER 26.5 · POINTS · 2021–2026

HIT RATE35.6%83 of 233 games

INTERVAL29.8%–42.0%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN+180at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+236if the rate is 29.8%

A'ja has cleared 26.5 points in 35.6% of 233 games since 2021, and in 70.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs +180 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price. See the full breakdown →

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-09-24

PHO

AWAY

34.6MIN

34POINTS

9 · 5 · 16-28

ABOVE

FG: 16-28
3PT: 1-3
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 3/6
TS%: 59.8
USG%: 38.5
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +12
PRA: 48

2026-09-22

LAS

HOME

32.1MIN

18POINTS

10 · 2 · 7-15

BELOW

FG: 7-15
3PT: 1-1
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 3/7
TS%: 53.7
USG%: 28.6
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: +11
PRA: 30

2026-09-20

SEA

HOME

30.2MIN

30POINTS

8 · 4 · 7-13

ABOVE

FG: 7-13
3PT: 0-1
FT: 16-18
OREB/DREB: 1/7
TS%: 71.7
USG%: 34.4
STL: 3
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +24
PRA: 42

2026-09-17

SEA

AWAY

28.9MIN

29POINTS

7 · 5 · 9-13

ABOVE

FG: 9-13
3PT: 1-1
FT: 10-10
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 83.3
USG%: 26.0
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: +23
PRA: 41

2026-08-28

TOR

HOME

30.5MIN

27POINTS

8 · 2 · 10-17

ABOVE

FG: 10-17
3PT: 0-2
FT: 7-8
OREB/DREB: 2/6
TS%: 65.8
USG%: 32.4
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +14
PRA: 37

2026-08-23

TOR

AWAY

30.5MIN

27POINTS

7 · 7 · 10-15

ABOVE

FG: 10-15
3PT: 1-2
FT: 6-8
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 72.9
USG%: 30.6
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +12
PRA: 41

2026-08-20

CON

HOME

27.4MIN

20POINTS

3 · 4 · 9-19

BELOW

FG: 9-19
3PT: 0-2
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 49.2
USG%: 32.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +22
PRA: 27

2026-08-18

ATL

HOME

34.2MIN

27POINTS

14 · 3 · 7-18

ABOVE

FG: 7-18
3PT: 1-2
FT: 12-12
OREB/DREB: 2/12
TS%: 58.0
USG%: 36.4
STL: 2
BLK: 4
TOV: 5
PF: 1
+/−: -13
PRA: 44

2026-08-15

MIN

HOME

33.7MIN

32POINTS

7 · 1 · 10-15

ABOVE

FG: 10-15
3PT: 1-3
FT: 11-12
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 78.9
USG%: 28.1
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -8
PRA: 40

2026-08-13

WAS

HOME

34.7MIN

15POINTS

6 · 4 · 5-14

BELOW

FG: 5-14
3PT: 1-4
FT: 4-5
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 46.3
USG%: 26.7
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: +8
PRA: 25

2026-08-11

WAS

HOME

34.7MIN

26POINTS

13 · 2 · 10-18

BELOW

FG: 10-18
3PT: 1-3
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 2/11
TS%: 64.4
USG%: 34.5
STL: 2
BLK: 4
TOV: 5
PF: 3
+/−: +13
PRA: 41

2026-08-08

MIN

AWAY

32.6MIN

16POINTS

8 · 1 · 5-17

BELOW

FG: 5-17
3PT: 1-3
FT: 5-6
OREB/DREB: 4/4
TS%: 40.7
USG%: 32.5
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 5
PF: 2
+/−: -11
PRA: 25

2026-08-06

IND

AWAY

37.5MIN

26POINTS

13 · 3 · 10-25

BELOW

FG: 10-25
3PT: 0-2
FT: 6-6
OREB/DREB: 1/12
TS%: 47.0
USG%: 34.0
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: +7
PRA: 42

2026-08-03

ATL

AWAY

30.1MIN

23POINTS

6 · 4 · 8-11

BELOW

FG: 8-11
3PT: 1-1
FT: 6-6
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 84.3
USG%: 22.6
STL: 0
BLK: 3
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +38
PRA: 33

2026-08-01

CHI

AWAY

34.5MIN

36POINTS

12 · 4 · 13-27

ABOVE

FG: 13-27
3PT: 1-1
FT: 9-12
OREB/DREB: 5/7
TS%: 55.8
USG%: 40.6
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +1
PRA: 52

2026-07-30

NYL

HOME

35.7MIN

33POINTS

10 · 6 · 11-22

ABOVE

FG: 11-22
3PT: 1-4
FT: 10-11
OREB/DREB: 1/9
TS%: 61.5
USG%: 37.6
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +8
PRA: 49

2026-07-28

POR

HOME

30.2MIN

28POINTS

14 · 4 · 7-10

ABOVE

FG: 7-10
3PT: 1-3
FT: 13-14
OREB/DREB: 1/13
TS%: 86.6
USG%: 31.6
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: +14
PRA: 46

2026-07-22

WAS

AWAY

34.8MIN

38POINTS

7 · 5 · 12-16

ABOVE

FG: 12-16
3PT: 2-3
FT: 12-13
OREB/DREB: 2/5
TS%: 87.5
USG%: 31.6
STL: 3
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +2
PRA: 50

2026-07-20

TOR

AWAY

27.8MIN

26POINTS

6 · 4 · 11-14

BELOW

FG: 11-14
3PT: 3-3
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 90.0
USG%: 23.7
STL: 1
BLK: 4
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +24
PRA: 36

2026-07-12

IND

HOME

30.8MIN

20POINTS

12 · 2 · 9-23

BELOW

FG: 9-23
3PT: 0-1
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 4/8
TS%: 41.9
USG%: 39.3
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: -13
PRA: 34

2026-07-11

PHO

HOME

24.5MIN

21POINTS

15 · 3 · 8-16

BELOW

FG: 8-16
3PT: 1-3
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 3/12
TS%: 59.1
USG%: 33.2
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +30
PRA: 39

2026-07-09

POR

AWAY

30.2MIN

32POINTS

10 · 3 · 10-19

ABOVE

FG: 10-19
3PT: 1-2
FT: 11-13
OREB/DREB: 0/10
TS%: 64.7
USG%: 41.2
STL: 2
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +25
PRA: 45

2026-06-28

CHI

AWAY

34.0MIN

30POINTS

15 · 2 · 8-14

ABOVE

FG: 8-14
3PT: 1-3
FT: 13-16
OREB/DREB: 4/11
TS%: 71.3
USG%: 32.7
STL: 4
BLK: 3
TOV: 4
PF: 2
+/−: +9
PRA: 47

2026-06-25

DAL

HOME

31.8MIN

32POINTS

9 · 0 · 12-21

ABOVE

FG: 12-21
3PT: 0-1
FT: 8-11
OREB/DREB: 2/7
TS%: 61.9
USG%: 39.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +14
PRA: 41

2026-06-23

NYL

HOME

35.6MIN

16POINTS

9 · 5 · 7-18

BELOW

FG: 7-18
3PT: 0-3
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 1/8
TS%: 41.4
USG%: 30.4
STL: 4
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: -11
PRA: 30

2026-06-21

GSV

HOME

31.0MIN

19POINTS

9 · 3 · 7-13

BELOW

FG: 7-13
3PT: 0-2
FT: 5-5
OREB/DREB: 0/9
TS%: 62.5
USG%: 32.0
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 3
PF: 0
+/−: +27
PRA: 31

2026-06-17

PHO

AWAY

37.1MIN

33POINTS

10 · 3 · 11-20

ABOVE

FG: 11-20
3PT: 0-2
FT: 11-13
OREB/DREB: 4/6
TS%: 64.2
USG%: 34.0
STL: 5
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +14
PRA: 46

2026-06-15

DAL

AWAY

25.6MIN

18POINTS

5 · 2 · 8-15

BELOW

FG: 8-15
3PT: 0-2
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 55.1
USG%: 33.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -18
PRA: 25

2026-06-13

MIN

HOME

32.1MIN

24POINTS

10 · 1 · 9-15

BELOW

FG: 9-15
3PT: 1-2
FT: 5-6
OREB/DREB: 2/8
TS%: 68.0
USG%: 29.8
STL: 2
BLK: 3
TOV: 3
PF: 4
+/−: +3
PRA: 35

2026-06-11

POR

AWAY

35.7MIN

32POINTS

5 · 4 · 10-20

ABOVE

FG: 10-20
3PT: 1-2
FT: 11-13
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 62.2
USG%: 32.6
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: +24
PRA: 41

2026-06-08

SEA

HOME

35.6MIN

34POINTS

12 · 9 · 10-19

ABOVE

FG: 10-19
3PT: 3-5
FT: 11-13
OREB/DREB: 4/8
TS%: 68.8
USG%: 32.4
STL: 1
BLK: 3
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: +12
PRA: 55

2026-06-06

GSV

HOME

35.1MIN

28POINTS

14 · 3 · 9-17

ABOVE

FG: 9-17
3PT: 2-4
FT: 8-8
OREB/DREB: 2/12
TS%: 68.2
USG%: 30.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +12
PRA: 45

2026-06-02

LAS

AWAY

33.7MIN

25POINTS

15 · 1 · 10-20

BELOW

FG: 10-20
3PT: 1-3
FT: 4-7
OREB/DREB: 3/12
TS%: 54.2
USG%: 36.0
STL: 3
BLK: 5
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: +1
PRA: 41

2026-05-31

GSV

AWAY

35.9MIN

28POINTS

15 · 4 · 11-22

ABOVE

FG: 11-22
3PT: 0-1
FT: 6-7
OREB/DREB: 5/10
TS%: 55.8
USG%: 34.8
STL: 1
BLK: 4
TOV: 4
PF: 2
+/−: +11
PRA: 47

2026-05-28

DAL

AWAY

34.8MIN

21POINTS

7 · 3 · 10-24

BELOW

FG: 10-24
3PT: 1-1
FT: 0-1
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 43.0
USG%: 32.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: -12
PRA: 31

2026-05-23

LAS

HOME

35.5MIN

24POINTS

15 · 4 · 8-20

BELOW

FG: 8-20
3PT: 2-4
FT: 6-6
OREB/DREB: 2/13
TS%: 53.0
USG%: 29.1
STL: 2
BLK: 4
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: -3
PRA: 43

2026-05-17

ATL

AWAY

31.2MIN

20POINTS

6 · 1 · 6-12

BELOW

FG: 6-12
3PT: 2-2
FT: 6-7
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 66.3
USG%: 26.2
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 4
PF: 5
+/−: -3
PRA: 27

2026-05-15

CON

AWAY

32.2MIN

45POINTS

3 · 3 · 15-18

ABOVE

FG: 15-18
3PT: 2-2
FT: 13-13
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 94.9
USG%: 37.3
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: +15
PRA: 51

2026-05-13

CON

AWAY

20.7MIN

22POINTS

11 · 1 · 8-15

BELOW

FG: 8-15
3PT: 0-0
FT: 6-9
OREB/DREB: 4/7
TS%: 58.0
USG%: 40.1
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +33
PRA: 34

2026-05-10

LAS

AWAY

30.0MIN

19POINTS

4 · 3 · 7-14

BELOW

FG: 7-14
3PT: 0-2
FT: 5-6
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 57.1
USG%: 29.0
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 3
PF: 1
+/−: +19
PRA: 26

2026-05-09

PHO

HOME

23.6MIN

19POINTS

4 · 4 · 8-15

BELOW

FG: 8-15
3PT: 2-3
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 59.8
USG%: 33.1
STL: 2
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 0
+/−: -22
PRA: 27

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