LAS · SG · 2026 season

Ariel Atkins

42 games played · averaging 8.5 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 8.5 · POINTS · 2022–2026

HIT RATE73.2%134 of 183 games

INTERVAL66.4%–79.1%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN-274at that rate

AT THE FLOOR-196if the rate is 66.4%

Ariel has cleared 8.5 points in 73.2% of 183 games since 2022, and in 50.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs -274 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price. See the full breakdown →

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-09-24

GSV

HOME

28.3MIN

7POINTS

1 · 4 · 3-9

BELOW

FG: 3-9
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 38.9
USG%: 14.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 4
+/−: 0
PRA: 12

2026-09-22

LVA

AWAY

22.9MIN

9POINTS

2 · 1 · 4-8

ABOVE

FG: 4-8
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 56.3
USG%: 16.5
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 5
+/−: -9
PRA: 12

2026-09-20

POR

HOME

20.5MIN

14POINTS

5 · 2 · 5-7

ABOVE

FG: 5-7
3PT: 1-3
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 84.1
USG%: 20.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +20
PRA: 21

2026-09-17

DAL

AWAY

22.8MIN

4POINTS

3 · 1 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 0-1
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 51.5
USG%: 8.6
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -15
PRA: 8

2026-08-30

SEA

AWAY

16.9MIN

4POINTS

2 · 2 · 2-4

BELOW

FG: 2-4
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 9.9
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: +15
PRA: 8

2026-08-28

WAS

HOME

27.2MIN

4POINTS

3 · 3 · 2-5

BELOW

FG: 2-5
3PT: 0-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 40.0
USG%: 9.3
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 5
+/−: +10
PRA: 10

2026-08-24

ATL

HOME

32.9MIN

10POINTS

1 · 6 · 3-9

ABOVE

FG: 3-9
3PT: 2-5
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 50.6
USG%: 14.0
STL: 2
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +7
PRA: 17

2026-08-22

CON

HOME

24.7MIN

6POINTS

7 · 3 · 2-5

BELOW

FG: 2-5
3PT: 0-2
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/6
TS%: 51.0
USG%: 13.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +2
PRA: 16

2026-08-20

ATL

HOME

15.9MIN

9POINTS

0 · 1 · 3-7

ABOVE

FG: 3-7
3PT: 1-4
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 57.1
USG%: 24.2
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -12
PRA: 10

2026-08-18

CON

AWAY

26.0MIN

9POINTS

2 · 2 · 2-5

ABOVE

FG: 2-5
3PT: 1-4
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 66.6
USG%: 13.2
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: -14
PRA: 13

2026-08-15

WAS

AWAY

29.7MIN

1POINTS

2 · 3 · 0-7

BELOW

FG: 0-7
3PT: 0-7
FT: 1-2
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 6.3
USG%: 16.2
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: +1
PRA: 6

2026-08-13

NYL

AWAY

28.2MIN

3POINTS

4 · 2 · 1-5

BELOW

FG: 1-5
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 30.0
USG%: 11.3
STL: 3
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 5
+/−: -20
PRA: 9

2026-08-11

PHO

HOME

31.9MIN

5POINTS

4 · 2 · 2-7

BELOW

FG: 2-7
3PT: 1-5
FT: 0-2
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 31.7
USG%: 9.8
STL: 4
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 5
+/−: -13
PRA: 11

2026-08-09

GSV

HOME

30.1MIN

9POINTS

4 · 4 · 3-5

ABOVE

FG: 3-5
3PT: 2-4
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 82.7
USG%: 8.5
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -3
PRA: 17

2026-08-06

MIN

AWAY

28.8MIN

7POINTS

2 · 6 · 2-5

BELOW

FG: 2-5
3PT: 1-2
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 59.5
USG%: 12.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 4
+/−: 0
PRA: 15

2026-08-05

CHI

AWAY

20.9MIN

8POINTS

1 · 3 · 3-10

BELOW

FG: 3-10
3PT: 2-7
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 40.0
USG%: 21.1
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +5
PRA: 12

2026-08-02

POR

AWAY

30.6MIN

12POINTS

3 · 6 · 4-9

ABOVE

FG: 4-9
3PT: 4-7
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 66.7
USG%: 13.9
STL: 1
BLK: 1
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +9
PRA: 21

2026-07-28

NYL

HOME

34.2MIN

16POINTS

5 · 5 · 6-8

ABOVE

FG: 6-8
3PT: 2-4
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 90.1
USG%: 16.5
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 4
PF: 4
+/−: -4
PRA: 26

2026-07-22

PHO

HOME

33.1MIN

15POINTS

4 · 3 · 5-9

ABOVE

FG: 5-9
3PT: 3-6
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 3/1
TS%: 75.9
USG%: 13.5
STL: 1
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +5
PRA: 22

2026-07-19

DAL

AWAY

31.5MIN

9POINTS

2 · 3 · 3-8

ABOVE

FG: 3-8
3PT: 1-4
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 50.7
USG%: 14.6
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: 0
PRA: 14

2026-07-17

CHI

AWAY

34.0MIN

9POINTS

4 · 3 · 3-11

ABOVE

FG: 3-11
3PT: 1-6
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 37.9
USG%: 19.0
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: -1
PRA: 16

2026-07-15

MIN

AWAY

34.6MIN

8POINTS

2 · 6 · 3-11

BELOW

FG: 3-11
3PT: 2-7
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 36.4
USG%: 16.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 4
+/−: -2
PRA: 16

2026-07-13

ATL

AWAY

33.6MIN

13POINTS

3 · 2 · 5-11

ABOVE

FG: 5-11
3PT: 0-3
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 52.8
USG%: 18.5
STL: 2
BLK: 2
TOV: 2
PF: 4
+/−: -10
PRA: 18

2026-07-10

CHI

HOME

28.7MIN

17POINTS

3 · 6 · 7-13

ABOVE

FG: 7-13
3PT: 2-5
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 63.2
USG%: 21.5
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 4
+/−: +24
PRA: 26

2026-07-08

IND

HOME

30.7MIN

12POINTS

3 · 1 · 4-10

ABOVE

FG: 4-10
3PT: 2-5
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 55.1
USG%: 17.0
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 5
+/−: +7
PRA: 16

2026-07-06

SEA

HOME

22.0MIN

5POINTS

5 · 0 · 2-6

BELOW

FG: 2-6
3PT: 0-3
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 38.8
USG%: 18.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 3
+/−: -17
PRA: 10

2026-06-27

IND

AWAY

22.4MIN

12POINTS

3 · 3 · 5-8

ABOVE

FG: 5-8
3PT: 2-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 15.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 4
+/−: -12
PRA: 18

2026-06-25

TOR

AWAY

14.4MIN

0POINTS

0 · 1 · 0-3

BELOW

FG: 0-3
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 14.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 4
+/−: -21
PRA: 1

2026-06-21

NYL

HOME

25.7MIN

10POINTS

2 · 4 · 4-8

ABOVE

FG: 4-8
3PT: 2-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 62.5
USG%: 15.3
STL: 0
BLK: 2
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: +7
PRA: 16

2026-06-17

MIN

HOME

29.6MIN

4POINTS

1 · 3 · 1-7

BELOW

FG: 1-7
3PT: 0-3
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 25.4
USG%: 16.0
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 4
+/−: -12
PRA: 8

2026-06-15

GSV

AWAY

21.0MIN

6POINTS

0 · 2 · 3-11

BELOW

FG: 3-11
3PT: 0-7
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 27.3
USG%: 27.3
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -11
PRA: 8

2026-06-13

PHO

AWAY

31.3MIN

6POINTS

1 · 3 · 2-7

BELOW

FG: 2-7
3PT: 1-3
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 40.3
USG%: 12.1
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +7
PRA: 10

2026-06-10

SEA

AWAY

24.9MIN

7POINTS

6 · 3 · 2-8

BELOW

FG: 2-8
3PT: 1-4
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/5
TS%: 39.4
USG%: 15.0
STL: 4
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: +4
PRA: 16

2026-06-07

POR

HOME

17.8MIN

6POINTS

2 · 2 · 3-9

BELOW

FG: 3-9
3PT: 0-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 33.3
USG%: 27.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: +8
PRA: 10

2026-06-05

DAL

HOME

27.9MIN

16POINTS

5 · 3 · 6-12

ABOVE

FG: 6-12
3PT: 4-7
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 66.7
USG%: 21.5
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 5
+/−: -1
PRA: 24

2026-06-02

LVA

HOME

29.4MIN

9POINTS

7 · 2 · 2-13

ABOVE

FG: 2-13
3PT: 1-6
FT: 4-4
OREB/DREB: 0/7
TS%: 30.5
USG%: 24.4
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -4
PRA: 18

2026-05-30

CON

AWAY

31.9MIN

16POINTS

4 · 1 · 3-9

ABOVE

FG: 3-9
3PT: 2-4
FT: 8-8
OREB/DREB: 1/3
TS%: 63.9
USG%: 20.9
STL: 4
BLK: 3
TOV: 3
PF: 5
+/−: +5
PRA: 21

2026-05-29

WAS

AWAY

29.0MIN

8POINTS

2 · 2 · 4-5

BELOW

FG: 4-5
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 80.0
USG%: 10.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 6
+/−: -2
PRA: 12

2026-05-23

LVA

AWAY

30.3MIN

11POINTS

3 · 3 · 5-12

ABOVE

FG: 5-12
3PT: 1-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 45.8
USG%: 20.4
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -5
PRA: 17

2026-05-21

PHO

AWAY

24.1MIN

11POINTS

1 · 2 · 4-8

ABOVE

FG: 4-8
3PT: 3-7
FT: 0-1
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 65.2
USG%: 19.1
STL: 3
BLK: 1
TOV: 2
PF: 5
+/−: +2
PRA: 14

2026-05-13

IND

HOME

15.8MIN

2POINTS

2 · 2 · 0-4

BELOW

FG: 0-4
3PT: 0-1
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 20.5
USG%: 20.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 3
+/−: -14
PRA: 6

2026-05-10

LVA

HOME

31.8MIN

8POINTS

4 · 3 · 3-12

BELOW

FG: 3-12
3PT: 0-6
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 2/2
TS%: 31.1
USG%: 19.2
STL: 3
BLK: 0
TOV: 3
PF: 2
+/−: -6
PRA: 15

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