SEA · G · 2026 season

Katie Lou Samuelson

32 games played · averaging 4.4 points. Each row is judged against that average, not against a betting line.

OVER 4.5 · POINTS · 2022–2026

HIT RATE54.9%56 of 102 games

INTERVAL45.2%–64.2%95% confidence

BREAK-EVEN-122at that rate

AT THE FLOOR+121if the rate is 45.2%

Katie has cleared 4.5 points in 54.9% of 102 games since 2022, and in 30.0% of the last 10. A wager at that rate needs -122 or better to break even — that is arithmetic on the rate, not a view on tonight's price. See the full breakdown →

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS AVG

2026-08-30

LAS

HOME

16.8MIN

4POINTS

0 · 2 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 0-3
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 41.0
USG%: 11.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +1
PRA: 6

2026-08-26

TOR

HOME

25.2MIN

8POINTS

6 · 3 · 3-7

ABOVE

FG: 3-7
3PT: 1-4
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 53.8
USG%: 12.2
STL: 3
BLK: 2
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +13
PRA: 17

2026-08-23

DAL

AWAY

13.5MIN

3POINTS

3 · 0 · 1-6

BELOW

FG: 1-6
3PT: 1-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/1
TS%: 25.0
USG%: 22.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -10
PRA: 6

2026-08-16

CHI

HOME

12.3MIN

2POINTS

0 · 1 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 9.9
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -5
PRA: 3

2026-08-14

POR

HOME

11.7MIN

3POINTS

1 · 0 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/0
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 13.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -16
PRA: 4

2026-08-05

NYL

AWAY

9.3MIN

4POINTS

2 · 0 · 2-4

BELOW

FG: 2-4
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 22.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -11
PRA: 6

2026-08-03

NYL

AWAY

14.5MIN

2POINTS

1 · 1 · 1-5

BELOW

FG: 1-5
3PT: 0-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/0
TS%: 20.0
USG%: 16.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +5
PRA: 4

2026-07-31

ATL

AWAY

16.3MIN

8POINTS

0 · 0 · 2-4

ABOVE

FG: 2-4
3PT: 2-4
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 82.0
USG%: 14.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -4
PRA: 8

2026-07-28

IND

HOME

11.8MIN

5POINTS

5 · 1 · 2-5

ABOVE

FG: 2-5
3PT: 1-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 17.9
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -9
PRA: 11

2026-07-22

MIN

HOME

13.3MIN

3POINTS

4 · 1 · 0-2

BELOW

FG: 0-2
3PT: 0-2
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 39.9
USG%: 14.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +1
PRA: 8

2026-07-20

MIN

HOME

14.6MIN

7POINTS

2 · 0 · 2-4

ABOVE

FG: 2-4
3PT: 2-3
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 78.8
USG%: 12.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: +3
PRA: 9

2026-07-17

IND

AWAY

18.6MIN

8POINTS

1 · 0 · 3-4

ABOVE

FG: 3-4
3PT: 1-2
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 90.1
USG%: 11.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: +1
PRA: 9

2026-07-15

CHI

AWAY

20.4MIN

11POINTS

3 · 0 · 4-4

ABOVE

FG: 4-4
3PT: 1-1
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 2/1
TS%: 103.4
USG%: 10.0
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -9
PRA: 14

2026-07-12

WAS

AWAY

11.6MIN

3POINTS

0 · 0 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 10.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: -5
PRA: 3

2026-07-09

ATL

AWAY

12.1MIN

3POINTS

0 · 0 · 1-1

BELOW

FG: 1-1
3PT: 0-0
FT: 1-1
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 104.2
USG%: 5.0
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 2
+/−: -10
PRA: 3

2026-07-06

LAS

AWAY

15.5MIN

9POINTS

5 · 0 · 3-4

ABOVE

FG: 3-4
3PT: 3-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/4
TS%: 112.5
USG%: 11.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -2
PRA: 14

2026-07-04

POR

HOME

17.5MIN

5POINTS

1 · 0 · 1-3

ABOVE

FG: 1-3
3PT: 1-2
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 64.4
USG%: 9.5
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -6
PRA: 6

2026-07-02

PHO

AWAY

8.4MIN

0POINTS

2 · 0 · 0-1

BELOW

FG: 0-1
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 5.9
STL: 0
BLK: 1
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -15
PRA: 2

2026-06-27

ATL

HOME

17.2MIN

2POINTS

2 · 3 · 0-4

BELOW

FG: 0-4
3PT: 0-3
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 1/1
TS%: 20.5
USG%: 12.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +10
PRA: 7

2026-06-25

NYL

HOME

13.2MIN

2POINTS

5 · 2 · 1-1

BELOW

FG: 1-1
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 2/3
TS%: 100.0
USG%: 6.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -2
PRA: 9

2026-06-22

DAL

HOME

20.8MIN

3POINTS

2 · 1 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 4.3
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 3
+/−: -7
PRA: 6

2026-06-20

PHO

AWAY

26.6MIN

7POINTS

5 · 3 · 3-8

ABOVE

FG: 3-8
3PT: 1-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/5
TS%: 43.8
USG%: 13.8
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -8
PRA: 15

2026-06-17

POR

AWAY

11.4MIN

0POINTS

1 · 1 · 0-2

BELOW

FG: 0-2
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 8.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: +3
PRA: 2

2026-06-12

GSV

HOME

11.9MIN

8POINTS

1 · 0 · 2-2

ABOVE

FG: 2-2
3PT: 2-2
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 138.9
USG%: 11.4
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -5
PRA: 9

2026-06-10

LAS

HOME

9.4MIN

3POINTS

0 · 0 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 24.7
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -13
PRA: 3

2026-06-08

LVA

AWAY

20.0MIN

7POINTS

3 · 0 · 3-6

ABOVE

FG: 3-6
3PT: 1-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 58.3
USG%: 13.4
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -19
PRA: 10

2026-06-06

MIN

AWAY

18.3MIN

0POINTS

2 · 0 · 0-4

BELOW

FG: 0-4
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 9.6
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -5
PRA: 2

2026-06-03

PHO

HOME

17.1MIN

3POINTS

2 · 1 · 1-7

BELOW

FG: 1-7
3PT: 1-5
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 21.4
USG%: 21.0
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -2
PRA: 6

2026-06-01

DAL

AWAY

11.7MIN

6POINTS

2 · 2 · 2-2

ABOVE

FG: 2-2
3PT: 2-2
FT: 0-2
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 104.2
USG%: 11.5
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -3
PRA: 10

2026-05-30

TOR

AWAY

17.2MIN

2POINTS

4 · 2 · 1-5

BELOW

FG: 1-5
3PT: 0-4
FT: 0-1
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 18.4
USG%: 18.9
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 1
+/−: -16
PRA: 8

2026-05-27

WAS

HOME

15.3MIN

8POINTS

1 · 0 · 2-3

ABOVE

FG: 2-3
3PT: 1-2
FT: 3-4
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 84.0
USG%: 15.1
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: -7
PRA: 9

2026-05-24

WAS

HOME

18.0MIN

3POINTS

2 · 2 · 1-2

BELOW

FG: 1-2
3PT: 1-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 7.6
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 0
+/−: +12
PRA: 7

every game on file — nothing hidden