Semifinal 1 · Best of 5 · first to 3 wins
Minnesota Lynx against Phoenix Mercury
- Seed 1Minnesota LynxMinnesota1 win
- Seed 4Phoenix MercuryPhoenix3 wins
Phoenix won 3–1
- Game 1Phoenix at MinnesotaSun Sep 21 · Minnesota won 82–69
- Game 2Phoenix at MinnesotaTue Sep 23 · Phoenix won 89–83
- Game 3Minnesota at PhoenixFri Sep 26 · Phoenix won 84–76
- Game 4Minnesota at PhoenixSun Sep 28 · Phoenix won 86–81
Head to head
2025 regular season: Minnesota 3, Phoenix 1 (games won)
- Fri May 30Minnesota 74 at Phoenix 71→
- Tue Jun 3Phoenix 65 at Minnesota 88→
- Wed Jul 9Minnesota 71 at Phoenix 79→
- Wed Jul 16Phoenix 66 at Minnesota 79→
Earlier playoff meetings
- 2024 First round: Minnesota won 2–0
The betting market before each game
- Before game 1: Minnesota 85–89% to win the series (23 betting sites)
- Before game 2, Minnesota leading 1–0: Minnesota 90–92% to win the series (23 betting sites)
- Before game 3, series tied 1–1: Minnesota 70–74% to win the series (22 betting sites)
- Before game 4, Phoenix leading 2–1: Phoenix 80–83% to win the series (24 betting sites)
Each from that game's last prices before it started. The market's view, not our pick.
Our picks in this series
We did not publish WNBA picks before 2026.