DIME
WNBANBA
Get the picksJoin

WNBA · Playoffsupdated

WNBA Playoffs 2025

Every series in one place: the score, each game, what the betting market expects, who is injured, how the two teams have done against each other, and how our picks did.

The small number beside a team is its seed, its finishing place in the regular season (1 is the best). The better seed has home court: it hosts game 1 and, if the series goes all the way, the last game.

This is the 2025 bracket. See the 2026 playoffs

First round

First round · Best of 3 · first to 2 wins

Minnesota Lynx against Golden State Valkyries

  • Seed 1Minnesota LynxMinnesota2 wins
  • Seed 8Golden State ValkyriesGolden State0 wins

Minnesota won 2⁠–⁠0

  1. Game 1Golden State at MinnesotaSun Sep 14 · Minnesota won 101–72
  2. Game 2Minnesota at Golden StateWed Sep 17 · Minnesota won 75–74
Open the full seriesthe players, their form and their playoff history
More on this serieshead to head, the market before each game, our picks

Head to head

2025 regular season: Minnesota 4, Golden State 0 (games won)

Earlier playoff meetings

None since 2021.

The betting market before each game

  • Before game 1: Minnesota 93⁠–⁠95% to win the series (23 betting sites)
  • Before game 2, Minnesota leading 1⁠–⁠0: Minnesota 98% to win the series (23 betting sites)

Each from that game's last prices before it started. The market's view, not our pick.

Our picks in this series

We did not publish WNBA picks before 2026.

First round · Best of 3 · first to 2 wins

Phoenix Mercury against New York Liberty

  • Seed 4Phoenix MercuryPhoenix2 wins
  • Seed 5New York LibertyNew York1 win

Phoenix won 2⁠–⁠1

  1. Game 1New York at PhoenixSun Sep 14 · New York won 76–69
  2. Game 2Phoenix at New YorkWed Sep 17 · Phoenix won 86–60
  3. Game 3New York at PhoenixFri Sep 19 · Phoenix won 79–73
Open the full seriesthe players, their form and their playoff history
More on this serieshead to head, the market before each game, our picks

Head to head

2025 regular season: Phoenix 3, New York 1 (games won)

Earlier playoff meetings

  • 2021 First round: Phoenix won 1⁠–⁠0

The betting market before each game

  • Before game 1: New York 60⁠–⁠64% to win the series (23 betting sites)
  • Before game 2, New York leading 1⁠–⁠0: New York 81⁠–⁠84% to win the series (23 betting sites)
  • Before game 3, series tied 1⁠–⁠1: Phoenix 57% to win the series (23 betting sites)

Each from that game's last prices before it started. The market's view, not our pick.

Our picks in this series

We did not publish WNBA picks before 2026.

First round · Best of 3 · first to 2 wins

Las Vegas Aces against Seattle Storm

  • Seed 2Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas2 wins
  • Seed 7Seattle StormSeattle1 win

Las Vegas won 2⁠–⁠1

  1. Game 1Seattle at Las VegasSun Sep 14 · Las Vegas won 102–77
  2. Game 2Las Vegas at SeattleTue Sep 16 · Seattle won 86–83
  3. Game 3Seattle at Las VegasThu Sep 18 · Las Vegas won 74–73
Open the full seriesthe players, their form and their playoff history
More on this serieshead to head, the market before each game, our picks

Head to head

2025 regular season: Las Vegas 2, Seattle 2 (games won)

Earlier playoff meetings

  • 2024 First round: Las Vegas won 2⁠–⁠0
  • 2022 Semifinals: Las Vegas won 3⁠–⁠1

The betting market before each game

  • Before game 1: Las Vegas 70⁠–⁠74% to win the series (23 betting sites)
  • Before game 2, Las Vegas leading 1⁠–⁠0: Las Vegas 90⁠–⁠93% to win the series (23 betting sites)
  • Before game 3, series tied 1⁠–⁠1: Las Vegas 77% to win the series (23 betting sites)

Each from that game's last prices before it started. The market's view, not our pick.

Our picks in this series

We did not publish WNBA picks before 2026.

First round · Best of 3 · first to 2 wins

Atlanta Dream against Indiana Fever

  • Seed 3Atlanta DreamAtlanta1 win
  • Seed 6Indiana FeverIndiana2 wins

Indiana won 2⁠–⁠1

  1. Game 1Indiana at AtlantaSun Sep 14 · Atlanta won 80–68
  2. Game 2Atlanta at IndianaTue Sep 16 · Indiana won 77–60
  3. Game 3Indiana at AtlantaThu Sep 18 · Indiana won 87–85
Open the full seriesthe players, their form and their playoff history
More on this serieshead to head, the market before each game, our picks

Head to head

2025 regular season: Atlanta 2, Indiana 2 (games won)

Earlier playoff meetings

None since 2021.

The betting market before each game

  • Before game 1: Atlanta 78⁠–⁠81% to win the series (23 betting sites)
  • Before game 2, Atlanta leading 1⁠–⁠0: Atlanta 86⁠–⁠89% to win the series (23 betting sites)
  • Before game 3, series tied 1⁠–⁠1: Atlanta 76% to win the series (23 betting sites)

Each from that game's last prices before it started. The market's view, not our pick.

Our picks in this series

We did not publish WNBA picks before 2026.

Semifinals

Semifinal 1 · Best of 5 · first to 3 wins

Minnesota Lynx against Phoenix Mercury

  • Seed 1Minnesota LynxMinnesota1 win
  • Seed 4Phoenix MercuryPhoenix3 wins

Phoenix won 3⁠–⁠1

  1. Game 1Phoenix at MinnesotaSun Sep 21 · Minnesota won 82–69
  2. Game 2Phoenix at MinnesotaTue Sep 23 · Phoenix won 89–83
  3. Game 3Minnesota at PhoenixFri Sep 26 · Phoenix won 84–76
  4. Game 4Minnesota at PhoenixSun Sep 28 · Phoenix won 86–81
Open the full seriesthe players, their form and their playoff history
More on this serieshead to head, the market before each game, our picks

Head to head

2025 regular season: Minnesota 3, Phoenix 1 (games won)

Earlier playoff meetings

  • 2024 First round: Minnesota won 2⁠–⁠0

The betting market before each game

  • Before game 1: Minnesota 85⁠–⁠89% to win the series (23 betting sites)
  • Before game 2, Minnesota leading 1⁠–⁠0: Minnesota 90⁠–⁠92% to win the series (23 betting sites)
  • Before game 3, series tied 1⁠–⁠1: Minnesota 70⁠–⁠74% to win the series (22 betting sites)
  • Before game 4, Phoenix leading 2⁠–⁠1: Phoenix 80⁠–⁠83% to win the series (24 betting sites)

Each from that game's last prices before it started. The market's view, not our pick.

Our picks in this series

We did not publish WNBA picks before 2026.

Semifinal 2 · Best of 5 · first to 3 wins

Las Vegas Aces against Indiana Fever

  • Seed 2Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas3 wins
  • Seed 6Indiana FeverIndiana2 wins

Las Vegas won 3⁠–⁠2

  1. Game 1Indiana at Las VegasSun Sep 21 · Indiana won 89–73
  2. Game 2Indiana at Las VegasTue Sep 23 · Las Vegas won 90–68
  3. Game 3Las Vegas at IndianaFri Sep 26 · Las Vegas won 84–72
  4. Game 4Las Vegas at IndianaSun Sep 28 · Indiana won 90–83
  5. Game 5Indiana at Las VegasTue Sep 30 · Las Vegas won 107–98
Open the full seriesthe players, their form and their playoff history
More on this serieshead to head, the market before each game, our picks

Head to head

2025 regular season: Las Vegas 1, Indiana 2 (games won)

Earlier playoff meetings

None since 2021.

The betting market before each game

  • Before game 1: Las Vegas 87⁠–⁠90% to win the series (23 betting sites)
  • Before game 2, Indiana leading 1⁠–⁠0: Las Vegas 69⁠–⁠75% to win the series (23 betting sites)
  • Before game 3, series tied 1⁠–⁠1: Las Vegas 67⁠–⁠71% to win the series (23 betting sites)
  • Before game 4, Las Vegas leading 2⁠–⁠1: Las Vegas 86⁠–⁠89% to win the series (24 betting sites)
  • Before game 5, series tied 2⁠–⁠2: Las Vegas 78% to win the series (24 betting sites)

Each from that game's last prices before it started. The market's view, not our pick.

Our picks in this series

We did not publish WNBA picks before 2026.

Finals

Finals · Best of 7 · first to 4 wins

Las Vegas Aces against Phoenix Mercury

  • Seed 2Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas4 wins
  • Seed 4Phoenix MercuryPhoenix0 wins

Las Vegas won 4⁠–⁠0

  1. Game 1Phoenix at Las VegasFri Oct 3 · Las Vegas won 89–86
  2. Game 2Phoenix at Las VegasSun Oct 5 · Las Vegas won 91–78
  3. Game 3Las Vegas at PhoenixWed Oct 8 · Las Vegas won 90–88
  4. Game 4Las Vegas at PhoenixFri Oct 10 · Las Vegas won 97–86
Open the full seriesthe players, their form and their playoff history
More on this serieshead to head, the market before each game, our picks

Head to head

2025 regular season: Las Vegas 3, Phoenix 1 (games won)

Earlier playoff meetings

  • 2022 First round: Las Vegas won 2⁠–⁠0
  • 2021 Semifinals: Phoenix won 3⁠–⁠2

The betting market before each game

  • Before game 1: about even, Las Vegas 49⁠–⁠57% to win the series (24 betting sites)
  • Before game 2, Las Vegas leading 1⁠–⁠0: Las Vegas 65⁠–⁠73% to win the series (24 betting sites)
  • Before game 3, Las Vegas leading 2⁠–⁠0: Las Vegas 67⁠–⁠74% to win the series (22 betting sites)
  • Before game 4, Las Vegas leading 3⁠–⁠0: Las Vegas 97⁠–⁠98% to win the series (23 betting sites)

Each from that game's last prices before it started. The market's view, not our pick.

Our picks in this series

We did not publish WNBA picks before 2026.

How the series odds are worked out

  1. We take each sportsbook's latest price for the next game, from before it starts. Every price includes a small cut for the bookmaker; we remove it, so the two teams' chances add up to 100%.
  2. If Pinnacle, the bookmaker we use as the reference, is among them, we use its number; otherwise the middle value across all the sportsbooks. With fewer than two sportsbooks we show nothing.
  3. Playing at home helps. We take that out to get how the two teams compare on a neutral floor, then play out every game left in the series, each at the home it is scheduled at, and add up every way each team can reach the wins it needs.
  4. Nobody knows exactly how much home court is worth, so we use two sensible values: one from past playoff prices, one from the 2026 regular season's home record (178 home wins, 152 losses). The two results are shown as a range, for example “Minnesota 71–75%”.
  5. How good is it? We checked the method on 72 past series (WNBA 2022–2025 and the last three NBA playoffs). The favourites won 53 of them, against 53.6 expected, so the percentages mean what they say. But it was no better at naming the winner than simply backing the team with home court.
  6. So this number is the betting market's view, shown for information. It is not our pick, and our picks never use it.