Napheesa Collier over 20.5 points
She has cleared 20.5 in 70 of 145 games — 48.3%. That rate needs +107 to break even and books have been paying -105.
01
Distribution
145 games · hover a bucket5–10 points · 11 games · 7.6% · under11
10–15 points · 15 games · 10.3% · under15
15–20 points · 41 games · 28.3% · under41
20–25 points · 33 games · 22.8% · under33
25–30 points · 27 games · 18.6% · over27
30–35 points · 15 games · 10.3% · over15
35–40 points · 2 games · 1.4% · over2
40–45 points · 1 game · 0.7% · over1
20.5
UNDER · 75OVER · 70 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 20.5 · hover a bar2025-07-30 · NYL · 30 points · +9.5 vs line
2025-08-02 · LVA · 18 points · −2.5 vs line
2025-08-24 · IND · 32 points · +11.5 vs line
2025-08-28 · SEA · 18 points · −2.5 vs line
2025-08-30 · CON · 17 points · −3.5 vs line
2025-09-01 · DAL · 25 points · +4.5 vs line
2025-09-04 · LVA · 12 points · −8.5 vs line
2025-09-06 · GSV · 20 points · −0.5 vs line
2025-09-11 · GSV · 19 points · −1.5 vs line
2025-09-14 · GSV · 20 points · −0.5 vs line
2025-09-17 · GSV · 24 points · +3.5 vs line
2025-09-21 · PHO · 18 points · −2.5 vs line
2025-09-23 · PHO · 24 points · +3.5 vs line
2025-09-26 · PHO · 17 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-07-22 · SEA · 24 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-07-28 · TOR · 15 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-07-30 · TOR · 16 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-08-02 · IND · 18 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-08-06 · LAS · 21 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-08-08 · LVA · 22 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-08-09 · DAL · 17 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-08-12 · POR · 20 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-08-15 · LVA · 19 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-19 · GSV · 18 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-08-24 · GSV · 9 points · −11.5 vs line
2026-08-30 · ATL · 17 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-09-18 · NYL · 14 points · −6.5 vs line
2026-09-20 · CON · 23 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-09-22 · IND · 9 points · −11.5 vs line
2026-09-24 · IND · 6 points · −14.5 vs line
20.5
2025-07-30— 5-game mean2026-09-24 · newest
03
Recent form
10.0%1/10 · last 10
2026-08-09 · 17 points · UNDER
17
2026-08-12 · 20 points · UNDER
20
2026-08-15 · 19 points · UNDER
19
2026-08-19 · 18 points · UNDER
18
2026-08-24 · 9 points · UNDER
9
2026-08-30 · 17 points · UNDER
17
2026-09-18 · 14 points · UNDER
14
2026-09-20 · 23 points · OVER
23
2026-09-22 · 9 points · UNDER
9
2026-09-24 · 6 points · UNDER
6
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
median · 5 postings20.5-105
best offered20.5-105
worst offered20.5-105
our break-even20.5+107
Median -105 across 5 postings over 2 games. Her rate has never been worth that price.
05
Game log
25 of 145 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 20.5
2026-09-24INDHOME24.9MIN6POINTS7 · 3 · 2-8UNDER
- FG
- 2-8
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/6
- TS%
- 37.5
- USG%
- 15.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +34
- PRA
- 16
2026-09-22INDAWAY13.0MIN9POINTS2 · 0 · 4-6UNDER
- FG
- 4-6
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 75.0
- USG%
- 22.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -20
- PRA
- 11
2026-09-20CONAWAY34.0MIN23POINTS6 · 1 · 9-16OVER
- FG
- 9-16
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 5-5
- OREB/DREB
- 0/6
- TS%
- 63.2
- USG%
- 23.8
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 30
2026-09-18NYLHOME32.3MIN14POINTS7 · 4 · 7-11UNDER
- FG
- 7-11
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 0-1
- OREB/DREB
- 1/6
- TS%
- 61.2
- USG%
- 21.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 6
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -6
- PRA
- 25
2026-08-30ATLAWAY35.0MIN17POINTS7 · 2 · 5-15UNDER
- FG
- 5-15
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 5-6
- OREB/DREB
- 2/5
- TS%
- 48.2
- USG%
- 23.8
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -16
- PRA
- 26
2026-08-24GSVHOME31.7MIN9POINTS7 · 2 · 4-10UNDER
- FG
- 4-10
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/7
- TS%
- 45.0
- USG%
- 18.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 18
2026-08-19GSVAWAY36.7MIN18POINTS8 · 0 · 5-12UNDER
- FG
- 5-12
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 8-8
- OREB/DREB
- 0/8
- TS%
- 58.0
- USG%
- 26.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +15
- PRA
- 26
2026-08-15LVAAWAY25.1MIN19POINTS6 · 2 · 6-11UNDER
- FG
- 6-11
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 5-6
- OREB/DREB
- 0/6
- TS%
- 69.6
- USG%
- 26.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 27
2026-08-12PORAWAY32.6MIN20POINTS9 · 2 · 7-11UNDER
- FG
- 7-11
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 6-7
- OREB/DREB
- 1/8
- TS%
- 71.0
- USG%
- 24.3
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 3
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 31
2026-08-09DALHOME34.9MIN17POINTS8 · 3 · 7-10UNDER
- FG
- 7-10
- 3PT
- 3-5
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/7
- TS%
- 85.0
- USG%
- 17.1
- STL
- 4
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 28
2026-08-08LVAHOME34.7MIN22POINTS6 · 3 · 7-14OVER
- FG
- 7-14
- 3PT
- 5-7
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/5
- TS%
- 69.8
- USG%
- 24.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 3
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +7
- PRA
- 31
2026-08-06LASHOME33.5MIN21POINTS8 · 6 · 10-20OVER
- FG
- 10-20
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 5/3
- TS%
- 52.5
- USG%
- 29.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 35
2026-08-02INDHOME31.5MIN18POINTS8 · 7 · 6-13UNDER
- FG
- 6-13
- 3PT
- 3-5
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/7
- TS%
- 61.0
- USG%
- 21.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +16
- PRA
- 33
2026-07-30TORAWAY21.8MIN16POINTS5 · 2 · 7-12UNDER
- FG
- 7-12
- 3PT
- 2-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/3
- TS%
- 66.7
- USG%
- 26.1
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +17
- PRA
- 23
2026-07-28TORHOME25.0MIN15POINTS6 · 3 · 6-13UNDER
- FG
- 6-13
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/5
- TS%
- 50.8
- USG%
- 29.8
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +7
- PRA
- 24
2026-07-22SEAAWAY22.2MIN24POINTS10 · 1 · 9-20OVER
- FG
- 9-20
- 3PT
- 2-6
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/9
- TS%
- 55.1
- USG%
- 43.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +12
- PRA
- 35
2025-09-26PHOAWAY36.9MIN17POINTS6 · 3 · 8-15UNDER
- FG
- 8-15
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/4
- TS%
- 56.7
- USG%
- 23.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 3
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 26
2025-09-23PHOHOME38.0MIN24POINTS6 · 1 · 10-22OVER
- FG
- 10-22
- 3PT
- 2-8
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/6
- TS%
- 52.4
- USG%
- 29.5
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -11
- PRA
- 31
2025-09-21PHOHOME34.4MIN18POINTS9 · 2 · 8-16UNDER
- FG
- 8-16
- 3PT
- 2-6
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 3/6
- TS%
- 56.3
- USG%
- 24.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 29
2025-09-17GSVAWAY38.6MIN24POINTS7 · 4 · 10-16OVER
- FG
- 10-16
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 3-7
- OREB/DREB
- 3/4
- TS%
- 62.9
- USG%
- 27.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 35
2025-09-14GSVHOME26.2MIN20POINTS6 · 2 · 7-11UNDER
- FG
- 7-11
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 5-5
- OREB/DREB
- 1/5
- TS%
- 75.8
- USG%
- 25.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +11
- PRA
- 28
2025-09-11GSVHOME27.8MIN19POINTS4 · 2 · 8-10UNDER
- FG
- 8-10
- 3PT
- 3-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/2
- TS%
- 95.0
- USG%
- 19.6
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +8
- PRA
- 25
2025-09-06GSVAWAY36.2MIN20POINTS5 · 2 · 6-16UNDER
- FG
- 6-16
- 3PT
- 4-8
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/5
- TS%
- 56.3
- USG%
- 24.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 27
2025-09-04LVAAWAY29.5MIN12POINTS6 · 3 · 5-13UNDER
- FG
- 5-13
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/5
- TS%
- 43.2
- USG%
- 25.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -13
- PRA
- 21
2025-09-01DALHOME23.4MIN25POINTS3 · 1 · 7-10OVER
- FG
- 7-10
- 3PT
- 4-4
- FT
- 7-7
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 95.6
- USG%
- 27.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 3
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +7
- PRA
- 29
showing 25 of 145 — every rate above is computed over all 145