← consensus_wnba · WNBA

2026-09-22

Day by day

Latest 1 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: consensus_wnba.

26–23 · 53% · −1.47u across the last 1 days

09/2226–2353%−1.47u5 games
GSV @ POR2–5−3.12u
  • Megan DiLeo Under 4.5 REB8 vs 4.5paid over the fair number
  • Kayla Thornton Under 7.5 PTS11 vs 7.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Kayla Thornton Under 9.5 PTS11 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held upThornton's efficient 62% true shooting on 20% usage was enough to clear the 9.5-point line, converting 4-of-8 from the field and both her three-point attempts in 26 minutes despite modest volume.
  • Kayla Thornton Under 8.5 PTS11 vs 8.5shots didn't fall — the read held upThornton exceeded the under despite modest volume, converting 4-of-8 from the field (50%) and 2-of-4 from three (50%) on 26 minutes to reach 11 points, as efficient shooting made up for her low usage rate of just 20%.
  • Kayla Thornton Under 4.5 REB7 vs 4.5shots didn't fall — the read held upThornton grabbed 7 rebounds in 26 minutes, exceeding the 4.5 line by collecting 3 extra boards despite modest usage (20%) and shooting efficiency (62% TS%), likely benefiting from active interior presence and limited competition for available rebounds.
LAS @ LVA4–5−1.76u
  • A'ja Wilson Under 9.5 REB10 vs 9.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Jackie Young Over 20.5 PTS14 vs 20.5paid over the fair number
  • Jackie Young Under 4.5 REB5 vs 4.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upYoung's heavy 34-minute workload and 27% usage rate—playing nearly the full game as the primary ball-handler—gave her enough opportunities to grab 5 boards despite shooting just 6-16 from the field, pushing past the 4.5 rebound line.
  • Chelsea Gray Under 11.5 PTS17 vs 11.5paid over the fair numberGray torched the under on an efficient 7-12 shooting night (58% FG) with extended 33-minute run, nearly doubling the 11.5-point line at 17 points. Her 68% true shooting and zero fouls allowed her to stay on court and capitalize on a high-volume opportunity despite modest 21% usage.
  • Rae Burrell Over 14.5 PTS11 vs 14.5paid over the fair numberBurrell's inefficient 4-12 shooting (33% FG) despite solid court time (29 min) left her three points shy, compounded by a scoreless night from three-point range on two attempts.
CON @ WAS6–5+0.07u
  • Aaliyah Edwards Over 11.5 PTS8 vs 11.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Kiki Iriafen Over 15.5 PTS4 vs 15.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Charlisse Leger-Walker Over 3.5 AST3 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairpaid over the fair numberLeger-Walker came up one assist short despite playing 30 minutes, held back by low offensive involvement at just 14% usage and a 3-8 shooting night that limited her ability to create offense. She finished with exactly 3 dimes, falling one short of the over due to her reduced playmaking opportunities in a blowout loss.
  • Sonia Citron Over 4.5 AST3 vs 4.5shots didn't fall — the read held upCitron fell just short at 3 assists despite playing 30 minutes; she operated with only 19% usage and didn't generate enough offensive opportunities to reach 5 dimes, relying heavily on her scoring (6-6 FT) rather than playmaking.
  • Aaliyah Edwards Over 9.5 PTS8 vs 9.5no clean explanationEdwards' historically poor shooting night—just 4-for-14 (29% TS)—kept her a point short despite healthy 27 minutes and 13 rebounds; she couldn't convert enough looks to reach double figures.
MIN @ IND8–5+1.05u
  • Kelsey Mitchell Over 25.5 PTS20 vs 25.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Courtney Williams Over 13.5 PTS2 vs 13.5game script — blowout or foul trouble
  • Napheesa Collier Over 19.5 PTS9 vs 19.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Natasha Howard Over 11.5 PTS6 vs 11.5shots didn't fall — the read held upHoward played just 12 minutes and shot 2-for-5 from the field, combining for only 6 points well short of the 11.5 target; limited run and inefficient scoring made the over impossible to hit.
  • Natasha Howard Over 10.5 PTS6 vs 10.5shots didn't fall — the read held upHoward played just 12 minutes and shot 2-for-5 from the field, limiting her to 6 points well short of the 10.5 line; the minimal playing time and modest usage rate (27%) prevented her from accumulating scoring opportunities.
TOR @ CHI6–3+2.31u
  • Kamilla Cardoso Over 7.5 REB7 vs 7.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Kiki Rice Over 14.5 PTS9 vs 14.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Kiki Rice Over 13.5 PTS9 vs 13.5no clean explanationRice's inefficient 4-11 shooting (36% FG) and lack of free-throw attempts (0-0 FT) left her 4.5 points short despite playing 30 minutes with solid usage; her poor 41% true shooting prevented her from reaching 13.5 even with meaningful playing time.

Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.