← consensus_wnba · WNBA
2026-09-27
Day by day
Latest 1 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: consensus_wnba.
33–18 · 65% · +7.06u across the last 1 days
09/2733–1865%+7.06u4 games
WAS @ ATL6–6−1.61u
- Naz Hillmon Over 6.5 PTS4 vs 6.5shots didn't fall — the read held upHillmon's 20 minutes and 8% usage were both well below her typical workload, limiting her to just 2 made field goals despite solid efficiency, and she didn't attempt a free throw to compensate.
- Naz Hillmon Over 3.5 REB3 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upHillmon fell one rebound short despite playing 20 minutes, held back by minimal usage (8%) and a box-out role that limited her opportunities on the glass in a game without significant volume demands.
- Lauren Betts Over 5.5 PTS2 vs 5.5shots didn't fall — the read held upBetts went 1-for-4 from the field with a 25% true shooting percentage, well below the scoring efficiency needed to hit 5.5 points in 23 minutes of play. Her 11% usage rate and shooting struggles—missing 3-of-4 attempts—left her well short of the projection.
- Sonia Citron Under 15.5 PTS25 vs 15.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
- Angel Reese Over 14.5 PTS13 vs 14.5 — missed by a hairpaid over the fair numberReese fell just short despite solid volume (25% usage, 30 minutes), hamstrung by a brutal 4-15 shooting night (27% FG) that left her one point shy of the over. She made up ground at the free-throw line (4-5) and on the glass (12 rebounds), but the inefficient shooting was the decisive factor in missing 14.5 points.
- Georgia Amoore Over 8.5 PTS8 vs 8.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upAmoore fell one point shy despite 24 minutes of run, held back by poor shot selection as she connected on just 3 of 8 attempts (37.5% FG) with four turnovers limiting her offensive efficiency. Her 50% true shooting and 20% usage rate were both below her season norms, reflecting a sluggish night that left the over just out of reach.
IND @ LVA7–4+0.75u
- Caitlin Clark Under 9.5 AST10 vs 9.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held up
- A'ja Wilson Under 9.5 REB16 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWilson's elite efficiency (15-19 FG, 86% TS) kept her on the floor for all 35 minutes, and her 32% usage rate generated enough possessions to rack up 16 boards—well above the 9.5 line despite only fouling three times in a blowout win.
- Chelsea Gray Under 12.5 PTS14 vs 12.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upGray's efficient 4-8 shooting (50% FG) combined with a 6-7 free-throw line performance pushed her past the under despite modest volume, as she capitalized on high-efficiency looks in 34 minutes of play.
- A'ja Wilson Under 10.5 REB16 vs 10.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWilson dominated the glass with 16 rebounds in 35 minutes, fueled by her elite 79% field-goal rate (15-19) that kept her on the floor and offensive rebounding opportunities alive in a blowout win (+29).
DAL @ GSV8–5+1.30u
- Jessica Shepard Over 10.5 PTS0 vs 10.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
- Janelle Salaun Over 3.5 REB2 vs 3.5shots didn't fall — the read held upSalaun grabbed just 2 rebounds in 21 minutes despite decent playing time, falling 2 short of the 3.5 line—her limited opportunities on the glass were compounded by inefficient offensive play (1-6 FG) that kept her out of rhythm and reduced her involvement in hustle situations.
- Arike Ogunbowale Over 13.5 PTS10 vs 13.5shots didn't fall — the read held upOgunbowale shot just 2-7 from the field despite playing 26 minutes, and while she converted all six free throws, the inefficient field-goal performance (28.6% FG) left her three points short of the over. Her 21% usage rate and modest 52% true shooting capped her scoring ceiling in a game where Dallas fell into a blowout (-31 +/-).
- Gabby Williams Under 3.5 AST4 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upWilliams exceeded the assist line by one, reaching 4 dimes while playing a full 27 minutes with high usage (30%), giving her plenty of opportunities to facilitate in a blowout win (+27).
- Paige Bueckers Over 4.5 AST2 vs 4.5shots didn't fall — the read held upBueckers generated only 2 assists despite efficient scoring (9-10 FG) because her 23% usage rate—concentrated heavily on shot attempts rather than playmaking—limited her ball-handling and creation opportunities. The game's blowout margin (-23 +/-) likely compressed the offensive flow and reduced her role as a facilitator.
NYL @ MIN12–3+6.61u
- Sabrina Ionescu Under 2.5 3PM3 vs 2.5paid over the fair number
- Breanna Stewart Under 22.5 PTS34 vs 22.5paid over the fair numberStewart torched the under with elite efficiency, shooting 11-18 from the field and 10-12 from the stripe for a 73% true shooting rate while logging a game-high 38 minutes in a blowout. Her 34% usage rate and near-perfect free-throw shooting (83%) transformed what looked like a modest scoring line into a 34-point performance.
- Breanna Stewart Under 9.5 REB12 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held upStewart dominated the glass with 12 rebounds across 38 minutes of heavy usage (34%), converting at an elite 73% TS and staying out of foul trouble (3 PF), far exceeding the 9.5 threshold.
Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.