← consensus_wnba · WNBA

2026-09-29

Day by day

Latest 1 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: consensus_wnba.

18–14 · 56% · −0.49u across the last 1 days

09/2918–1456%−0.49u2 games
LVA @ IND7–6−0.59u
  • Jackie Young Over 6.5 AST5 vs 6.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Kelsey Mitchell Over 2.5 AST0 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Jackie Young Under 20.5 PTS31 vs 20.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • A'ja Wilson Over 0.5 3PM0 vs 0.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWilson went 0-for-1 from three and relied entirely on two-pointers and free throws, finishing 5-11 from the field with all makes coming inside the arc. Despite high volume (34 min, 29% usage), she simply didn't attempt enough threes (just one) to clear the 0.5 line.
  • A'ja Wilson Over 2.5 AST2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWilson's assist total fell short despite heavy offensive usage (29%), as she took 16 shot attempts and 13 free throws, leaving limited ball-movement opportunities in a game where Las Vegas struggled overall (-16 rating). Four turnovers and a shoot-first role in a competitive contest limited her playmaking ceiling.
  • Aliyah Boston Under 15.5 PTS22 vs 15.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
MIN @ NYL11–8+0.10u
  • Sabrina Ionescu Under 2.5 3PM4 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Pauline Astier Over 7.5 PTS4 vs 7.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Olivia Miles Over 17.5 PTS5 vs 17.5shots didn't fall — the read held up
  • Leonie Fiebich Over 3.5 REB3 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upFiebich fell one rebound short despite playing 29 minutes, held back by a low usage rate (9%) that limited her opportunities to crash the glass and compete for boards.
  • Courtney Williams Under 4.5 REB8 vs 4.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWilliams nearly doubled the projected total, grabbing 8 rebounds across 38 minutes of heavy involvement while posting a 24% usage rate that kept her in rebounding position throughout the game. The under missed decisively due to her elevated floor time and offensive workload creating consistent opportunities on the glass despite modest scoring efficiency.
  • Courtney Williams Under 12.5 PTS18 vs 12.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWilliams exceeded the under by shooting 8-of-17 from the field (47%) and playing all 38 minutes, generating 24% usage in a game where she stayed out of foul trouble with just 3 PF. Her efficient scoring night on high volume and heavy minutes availability was the key driver in surpassing 12.5 points.

Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.