← disciplined_board · WNBA
2026-09-29
Day by day
Latest 1 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: disciplined_board.
22–10 · 69% · +6.44u across the last 1 days
09/2922–1069%+6.44u2 games
MIN @ NYL13–8+2.31u
- Leonie Fiebich Over 3.5 REB3 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upFiebich fell one rebound short despite playing 29 minutes, held back by a low usage rate (9%) that limited her opportunities to crash the glass and compete for boards.
- Courtney Williams Under 4.5 REB8 vs 4.5paid over the fair numberWilliams nearly doubled the projected total, grabbing 8 rebounds across 38 minutes of heavy involvement while posting a 24% usage rate that kept her in rebounding position throughout the game. The under missed decisively due to her elevated floor time and offensive workload creating consistent opportunities on the glass despite modest scoring efficiency.
- Courtney Williams Under 12.5 PTS18 vs 12.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWilliams exceeded the under by shooting 8-of-17 from the field (47%) and playing all 38 minutes, generating 24% usage in a game where she stayed out of foul trouble with just 3 PF. Her efficient scoring night on high volume and heavy minutes availability was the key driver in surpassing 12.5 points.
- Sabrina Ionescu Under 15.5 PTS18 vs 15.5shots didn't fall — the read held upIonescu exceeded the under on efficient shooting, going 7-15 from the field (47%) with 4 made threes despite modest usage, and played all 33 available minutes without foul trouble to compile her 18 points. Her 60% true shooting and elevated three-point volume (10 attempts) proved enough to clear 15.5 in a blowout where New York's +15 margin allowed her to stay on the floor.
- Sabrina Ionescu Under 16.5 PTS18 vs 16.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upIonescu exceeded the under on efficient shooting, going 7-15 from the field (46.7%) with 4 three-pointers on high volume (33 minutes, 24% usage) to reach 18 points despite a quiet free-throw line. Her true shooting of 60% was well above her season baseline, allowing her to clear 16.5 on moderate shot attempts.
- Leonie Fiebich Over 1.5 AST1 vs 1.5no clean explanationFiebich played 29 minutes but recorded just 1 assist on 9% usage, falling one short of the 1.5 line; she was primarily a scorer/rebounder (7 pts, 3 reb) rather than a playmaker in this game.
LVA @ IND9–2+4.13u
- A'ja Wilson Over 2.5 AST2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWilson's assist total fell short despite heavy offensive usage (29%), as she took 16 shot attempts and 13 free throws, leaving limited ball-movement opportunities in a game where Las Vegas struggled overall (-16 rating). Four turnovers and a shoot-first role in a competitive contest limited her playmaking ceiling.
- Caitlin Clark Under 10.5 AST15 vs 10.5no clean explanationClark's 15 assists came in a high-volume offensive game (32% usage, 68% TS%) where she dominated as the primary playmaker, easily clearing the 10.5 line. The under was a misjudgment of her usage rate and the offensive pace of a game where Indiana controlled the tempo.
Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.