← disciplined_llm · WNBA

2026-07-11

Day by day

Latest 1 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: disciplined_llm.

2–4 · 33% · −1.75u across the last 1 days

07/112–433%−1.75u3 games
PHO @ LVA0–2−2.00u
  • Valeriane Ayayi Over 9.5 PTS5 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held upAyayi's 5 points fell well short of the 9.5 line due to poor shot selection and execution—she went 1-for-5 from the field despite logging 31 minutes, and her 13% usage rate and 40% TS% indicate she struggled to create efficient scoring opportunities.
  • A'ja Wilson Under 9.5 REB15 vs 9.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWilson dominated the glass with 15 rebounds in 24 minutes—well above the 9.5 line—fueled by elite efficiency (8-16 FG, 59% TS) and high usage (33%) that kept her heavily involved in both ends, while staying out of foul trouble (2 PF) to maximize her rebounding opportunities.
POR @ ATL0–1−1.00u
  • Naz Hillmon Under 8.5 PTS15 vs 8.5shots didn't fall — the read held upHillmon shot 6-11 from the field (54.5%) and played a full 36 minutes, combining for 15 points despite modest 17% usage—efficient scoring volume was enough to clear 8.5 even without high shot attempts. The sharp edge favoring the over (0.5347) proved correct as her elite True Shot percentage (61%) made her limited usage less of a constraint.
NYL @ MIN2–1+1.25u
  • Marine Johannes Under 7.5 PTS14 vs 7.5shots didn't fall — the read held upJohannes doubled her projected total on 70% true shooting, draining 4 three-pointers in 23 minutes of efficient offensive output that far exceeded the 7.5-point threshold. The under relied on her staying in single digits, but she turned a modest 19% usage rate into elite scoring efficiency that proved too high a bar.

Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.