← priced_lineedges_floored · WNBA
2026-09-21
Day by day
Latest 1 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: priced_lineedges_floored.
6–6 · 50% · −1.12u across the last 1 days
09/216–650%−1.12u2 games
ATL @ NYL4–6−2.65u
- Breanna Stewart Under 8.5 REB14 vs 8.5shots didn't fall — the read held upStewart dominated the glass with 14 rebounds on 37 minutes and 31% usage, nearly doubling the 8.5 line as the team's primary frontcourt presence in a low-scoring affair where boards were heavily contested.
- Allisha Gray Over 2.5 AST1 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upGray's usage rate sat at just 16%, well below what's needed to generate assist opportunities, and she recorded only 1 dime despite playing 32 minutes—a clear indicator the offense ran through other creators rather than her facilitating. She compensated with efficient scoring (5-8 FG), but low volume and assist distribution prevented her from reaching the 2.5 assists threshold.
- Angel Reese Over 2.5 AST2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upReese's ball-handling was minimal despite 34 minutes and heavy usage (25%), finishing with only 2 assists as she operated primarily as a scorer and rebounder rather than a playmaker. She drew 4 fouls, which limited her aggression and floor time in key stretches where she might have generated extra dimes.
- Naz Hillmon Over 4.5 REB3 vs 4.5paid over the fair numberHillmon's minimal 17 minutes of playing time left insufficient opportunities to reach 5 rebounds, and she grabbed just 3 boards despite efficient scoring; limited court exposure due to roster depth or game flow was the primary limiting factor.
- Isobel Borlase Over 3.5 PTS0 vs 3.5game script — blowout or foul troubleBorlase played only 8 minutes and took just one shot (missing both her field goal and three-point attempt), leaving her well short of the 3.5-point line with zero points on 6% usage.
- Rhyne Howard Over 16.5 PTS16 vs 16.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upHoward fell one point shy despite heavy usage (25%) and full availability (38 min), undone by inefficient shooting (6-16 FG, 2-8 3PT) that kept her at exactly 16 points on poor 45% true shooting.
DAL @ PHO2–0+1.53u
Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.