← priced_lineedges_floored · WNBA

2026-10-04

Day by day

Latest 1 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: priced_lineedges_floored.

7–9 · 44% · −2.95u across the last 1 days

10/047–944%−2.95u2 games
LVA @ GSV4–5−1.92u
  • Tiffany Hayes Over 8.5 PTS3 vs 8.5shots didn't fall — the read held upHayes shot just 1-for-4 from the field and 1-for-4 from the line while logging only 11 minutes, leaving her well short of the 8.5-point line. Her 26% true shooting and limited floor time were the primary culprits in a significant underperformance.
  • Tiffany Hayes Over 7.5 PTS3 vs 7.5shots didn't fall — the read held upHayes shot just 1-for-4 from the field and 1-for-4 from the free-throw line while playing only 11 minutes, combining for a 26% true shooting percentage that made scoring difficult despite a reasonable usage rate of 27%.
  • Jackie Young Over 17.5 PTS11 vs 17.5shots didn't fall — the read held upYoung's 4-15 shooting (26.7% FG) and 37% true shooting marked a sharp offensive collapse despite logging 38 minutes and maintaining high usage (24%), leaving her well short of the 17.5-point line.
  • Jackie Young Over 5.5 AST5 vs 5.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upYoung fell one assist short despite 38 minutes of heavy usage, held back by poor shot efficiency (4-15 FG) that forced her into a more scoring-dependent role rather than facilitating opportunities for teammates.
  • A'ja Wilson Over 24.5 PTS24 vs 24.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upWilson fell one point short despite 35 minutes and heavy 39% usage, hampered by inefficient 8-21 shooting (38% FG) that couldn't overcome her 8-11 free-throw production.
NYL @ ATL3–4−1.03u
  • Sabrina Ionescu Under 15.5 PTS27 vs 15.5shots didn't fall — the read held upIonescu torched the under, shooting 10-20 from the field (50%) and 3-8 from three while logging 34 minutes and commanding 35% usage—well above what's needed to clear 15.5 points. Her elite 62% true shooting efficiency and high volume made the under untenable.
  • Sabrina Ionescu Under 14.5 PTS27 vs 14.5no clean explanationIonescu torched the line on 10-20 shooting (50% FG) and 4-4 from the free-throw line, nearly doubling the under projection with her 62% true shooting and elite 35% usage rate over 34 minutes.
  • Naz Hillmon Over 6.5 PTS0 vs 6.5shots didn't fall — the read held upHillmon played heavy minutes (37) but was nearly invisible offensively, going 0-2 from the field with minimal shot attempts (6% usage), rendering her rebounding and assist contributions unable to compensate for a complete scoring drought.
  • Han Xu Over 3.5 PTS3 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairgame script — blowout or foul troubleXu fell one point short despite efficient shooting (75% TS) due to severely limited floor time at just 8 minutes, holding her to only 2 shot attempts despite a 21% usage rate.

Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.