role_gated_board · WNBA

2026-08-27

Day by day

Latest 1 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: role_gated_board.

47 · 36% · −4.30u across the last 1 days

08/274736%−4.30u2 games
GSV @ NYL24−2.59u
  • Sabrina Ionescu Over 3.5 REB2 vs 3.5shots didn't fall — the read held upIonescu's inefficiency (2-12 FG, 27% TS) and modest 26% usage rate limited her opportunities to crash the glass, while her 29 minutes—typical for her role—weren't enough to generate the necessary volume at a position where she averaged limited rebounding activity. The blowout loss (-17 +/-) also reduced garbage-time opportunities that could've pushed her toward the over.
  • Pauline Astier Over 6.5 PTS4 vs 6.5shots didn't fall — the read held upAstier's ice-cold 2-6 shooting (33% TS) left her stuck at 4 points despite 24 minutes of run, as poor shot selection and execution prevented her from reaching the 6.5-point threshold. Her 16% usage rate compounded the issue, limiting her scoring opportunities in a game where she struggled to find rhythm offensively.
  • Janelle Salaun Under 4.5 REB7 vs 4.5no clean explanationSalaun exceeded the rebound total despite poor offensive efficiency (3-10 FG), grabbing 7 boards in 24 minutes—a 17.5 rebound rate that capitalized on high volume opportunities and her size advantage on the glass. The under missed because she stayed active on the boards even as her scoring touch completely deserted her (30% FG).
  • Cecilia Zandalasini Over 1.5 AST1 vs 1.5paid over the fair numberZandalasini played a high-volume scorer's role (29% usage, 20 pts on 8-17 shooting) with limited playmaking opportunities, recording just 1 assist across 31 minutes despite solid efficiency. The offensive-focused game script didn't create natural setup opportunities for an assist-heavy performance.
WAS @ PHO23−1.72u
  • Alyssa Thomas Over 13.5 PTS4 vs 13.5no clean explanationThomas was held to just 1-5 from the field (20% FG) despite playing 32 minutes, rendering her 11% usage rate irrelevant; the offensive inefficiency—compounded by zero 3-pointers—left her stranded well short of 13.5 points.
  • Shakira Austin Over 17.5 PTS11 vs 17.5no clean explanationAustin shot just 3-9 from the field despite playing 30 minutes, and her 17% usage rate—well below her season average—limited her scoring opportunities in a game where she didn't get enough offensive touches to reach 18+.
  • Shakira Austin Over 16.5 PTS11 vs 16.5no clean explanationAustin's 11 points fell short of 16.5 despite playing 30 minutes due to inefficient shooting (3-9 FG, 33%), as she relied heavily on free throws (5-5) to generate scoring rather than consistent field-goal production.

Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.