← role_gated_board · WNBA
2026-09-30
Day by day
Latest 1 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: role_gated_board.
11–21 · 34% · −12.77u across the last 1 days
09/3011–2134%−12.77u2 games
GSV @ DAL3–13−10.88u
- Jessica Shepard Over 9.5 PTS4 vs 9.5no clean explanationShepard played heavy minutes (41) but was nearly invisible on offense, shooting just 2-5 from the field and generating only 9% usage—well below her typical volume—to finish with just 4 points despite the extended run.
- Kayla Thornton Under 5.5 REB6 vs 5.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationThornton grabbed one more rebound than the line allowed, reaching 6 boards in 31 minutes despite modest 15% usage; she stayed out of foul trouble (2 PF) and remained on the floor for the full game to accumulate the extra glass.
- Tiffany Hayes Under 2.5 REB3 vs 2.5no clean explanationHayes grabbed exactly one rebound more than the projected ceiling, finishing with 3 boards in 15 minutes of limited action. The under missed by the narrowest margin despite her modest 24% usage rate, as she simply out-rebounded expectations in her restricted role.
- Paige Bueckers Over 19.5 PTS10 vs 19.5shots didn't fall — the read held upBueckers' 10 points came on just 3-13 shooting (23% FG) despite playing all 43 minutes, as poor efficiency and low usage (18%) left her well short of the 19.5-point line. A 34% true shooting percentage—her lowest of the season—combined with limited volume kept her output at less than half her scoring threshold.
- Cecilia Zandalasini Over 1.5 REB1 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held upZandalasini came up one rebound short despite efficient scoring (2-3 FG), held back by limited rebounding opportunities in just 19 minutes of play. Her 10% usage rate and relatively modest court time restricted her ability to crash the boards enough to hit the over.
- Gabby Williams Under 17.5 PTS36 vs 17.5paid over the fair numberWilliams torched the line with elite efficiency, shooting 12-23 from the field (52%) and a perfect 7-7 from the stripe while playing 37 minutes with 36% usage—nearly double the volume implied by a 17.5-point prop. Her 69% true shooting percentage and balanced scoring attack (5 threes, 7 assists) made the under an easy miss.
ATL @ WAS8–8−1.89u
- Georgia Amoore Over 7.5 PTS2 vs 7.5shots didn't fall — the read held upAmoore's catastrophic 1-5 shooting (20% TS) and 0-4 from three—combined with just 11% usage despite 28 minutes—left her well short of 7.5 points; she scored only 2 and couldn't generate offensive opportunities even with extended floor time.
- Jordin Canada Under 3.5 REB7 vs 3.5paid over the fair numberCanada nearly doubled the projection with 7 rebounds in 35 minutes, significantly outpacing her season averages likely due to extended floor time and elevated usage in a blowout win (+23) where she played heavy minutes without foul trouble (4 PF).
- Kiki Iriafen Under 1.5 AST4 vs 1.5shots didn't fall — the read held upIriafen's 4 assists more than doubled the 1.5 line, driven by 36 minutes of heavy court time and a team-high 16 rebounds that created natural playmaking opportunities from the post and in transition.
- Allisha Gray Under 19.5 PTS22 vs 19.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationGray's efficient 44% overall shooting (8-18 FG) and perfect 3-for-3 free-throw night pushed her past the 19.5 line despite modest 27% usage, as she capitalized on her 35 minutes of court time with 57% true shooting.
- Georgia Amoore Over 8.5 PTS2 vs 8.5shots didn't fall — the read held upAmoore shot just 1-for-5 from the field with an 0-for-4 night from three, finishing at 20% TS despite playing 28 minutes—a complete offensive breakdown that left her five points shy of the over even with heavy volume on the court.
- Georgia Amoore Over 6.5 PTS2 vs 6.5no clean explanationAmoore shot 1-5 from the field and 0-4 from three despite 28 minutes of run, finishing with just 2 points on 20% true shooting—a historically cold performance that fell well short of the 6.5-point line. Her 11% usage rate and inability to convert any perimeter attempts left her 4.5 points short.
Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.