← role_gated_board · WNBA
2026-10-04
Day by day
Latest 1 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: role_gated_board.
10–9 · 53% · −1.47u across the last 1 days
10/0410–953%−1.47u2 games
NYL @ ATL5–5−1.14u
- Sabrina Ionescu Under 15.5 PTS27 vs 15.5shots didn't fall — the read held upIonescu torched the under, shooting 10-20 from the field (50%) and 3-8 from three while logging 34 minutes and commanding 35% usage—well above what's needed to clear 15.5 points. Her elite 62% true shooting efficiency and high volume made the under untenable.
- Jonquel Jones Under 2.5 AST4 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upJones exceeded the 2.5 assists line by dishing 4 assists while playing a full 32 minutes with elevated usage (17%), as the Liberty leaned on her playmaking from the post more than typical. The under missed despite modest offensive efficiency because she operated as a secondary facilitator alongside heavier volume touches in what appeared to be an offensive system adjustment.
- Sabrina Ionescu Under 14.5 PTS27 vs 14.5no clean explanationIonescu torched the line on 10-20 shooting (50% FG) and 4-4 from the free-throw line, nearly doubling the under projection with her 62% true shooting and elite 35% usage rate over 34 minutes.
- Naz Hillmon Over 6.5 PTS0 vs 6.5shots didn't fall — the read held upHillmon played heavy minutes (37) but was nearly invisible offensively, going 0-2 from the field with minimal shot attempts (6% usage), rendering her rebounding and assist contributions unable to compensate for a complete scoring drought.
- Sabrina Ionescu Under 16.5 PTS27 vs 16.5no clean explanationIonescu caught fire from the field, shooting 10-20 (50% FG) with efficient 62% true shooting to blow past the 16.5-point line, staying on the floor for 34 minutes with 35% usage despite a blowout loss.
LVA @ GSV5–4−0.33u
- Gabby Williams Under 4.5 REB11 vs 4.5no clean explanationWilliams dominated the glass with 11 rebounds across 34 minutes, more than doubling the 4.5 line, as her 31% usage rate and clean foul trouble (0 PF) allowed her to stay on the court and crash consistently on both ends.
- Jackie Young Over 17.5 PTS11 vs 17.5no clean explanationYoung's 4-15 shooting (26.7% FG) and 37% true shooting marked a sharp offensive collapse despite logging 38 minutes and maintaining high usage (24%), leaving her well short of the 17.5-point line.
- Jackie Young Over 5.5 AST5 vs 5.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upYoung fell one assist short despite 38 minutes of heavy usage, held back by poor shot efficiency (4-15 FG) that forced her into a more scoring-dependent role rather than facilitating opportunities for teammates.
- A'ja Wilson Over 24.5 PTS24 vs 24.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upWilson fell one point short despite 35 minutes and heavy 39% usage, hampered by inefficient 8-21 shooting (38% FG) that couldn't overcome her 8-11 free-throw production.
Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.