← role_gated_board · WNBA

2026-10-17

Day by day

Latest 1 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: role_gated_board.

5–10 · 33% · −6.37u across the last 1 days

10/175–1033%−6.37u1 game
ATL @ GSV5–10−6.37u
  • Naz Hillmon Over 1.5 AST0 vs 1.5paid over the fair numberHillmon's playmaking evaporated despite 30 minutes on court—she recorded zero assists while turning the ball over once, suggesting she operated primarily as a scorer rather than a facilitator in this game's flow.
  • Jordin Canada Over 11.5 PTS8 vs 11.5shots didn't fall — the read held upCanada played 38 minutes but shot just 3-9 from the field (33%) with a 40% true shooting percentage, falling well short of the scoring volume needed to clear 11.5 despite her high usage rate of 16%.
  • Gabby Williams Over 2.5 AST2 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWilliams fell one assist short despite heavy offensive usage (35%), as she prioritized scoring (26 pts on 22 attempts) over playmaking in a game where the team got out to an early lead (+16 final margin).
  • Angel Reese Under 10.5 REB12 vs 10.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upReese grabbed 12 rebounds in 35 minutes of heavy involvement, staying out of foul trouble (5 PF) and dominating the glass despite modest offensive efficiency. The under missed because she logged enough volume and minutes to consistently crash the boards, landing just over the 10.5 threshold.
  • Angel Reese Over 14.5 PTS14 vs 14.5 — missed by a hairshots didn't fall — the read held upReese fell one point short despite 35 minutes and solid 5-11 shooting (45% FG), as four fouls limited her aggression and she converted only 4-of-7 free throws, costing her the scoring cushion needed to clear 14.5.
  • Angel Reese Under 11.5 REB12 vs 11.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationReese grabbed one more board than needed to bust the under, finishing with 12 rebounds across 35 minutes of heavy involvement despite modest 24% usage, as she crashed the glass consistently in a close contest (+2 rating). The under missed by just one rebound on a night where she didn't need elite scoring efficiency to accumulate boards.

Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.