← role_gated_lineedges · WNBA

2026-10-01

Day by day

Latest 1 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: role_gated_lineedges.

24–15 · 62% · −10.41u across the last 1 days · 2 voided, zero benchmark units

10/0124–15 ·2 void62%−10.41u1 game
IND @ LVA24–15 ·2 void−10.41u
  • A'ja Wilson Under 30.5 PTS36 vs 30.5no clean explanationWilson shot an elite 73% TS on 31% usage, converting 12-of-15 free throws to reach 36 points and shatter the under; she was nearly automatic from the line and got there repeatedly despite foul trouble (5 PF).
  • Chelsea Gray Under 13.5 PTS23 vs 13.5shots didn't fall — the read held upGray exploded well beyond expectation on 8-15 shooting (53% FG) and a perfect 6-6 from the line, nearly doubling the 13.5 total despite modest 25% usage, powered by elite 65% true shooting efficiency.
  • A'ja Wilson Over 2.5 AST1 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upWilson's offensive burden was so heavy—31% usage with 36 points on 37 minutes—that she operated almost exclusively as a scorer rather than a facilitator, resulting in just 1 assist despite elite efficiency. The Las Vegas attack ran through her scoring rather than playmaking, making the over on assists a victim of her dominant but ball-dominant performance.
  • Caitlin Clark Over 2.5 REB2 vs 2.5no clean explanationClark played 37 minutes with high usage (29%) but grabbed just 2 rebounds, falling short of the 2.5 line; she was primarily facilitating (4 ast) rather than crashing the glass, and her team's poor efficiency (-14 +/-) limited offensive rebounding opportunities.
  • Caitlin Clark Over 7.5 AST4 vs 7.5no clean explanationClark's assist total was crushed by a season-high six turnovers and inefficient shot creation (6-18 FG, 29% usage), leaving her unable to generate enough ball movement and helper opportunities despite playing the full 37 minutes. The low-efficiency shooting forced her into isolation mode rather than playmaking rhythm, resulting in just 4 dimes well short of the 7.5 threshold.
  • Caitlin Clark Over 5.5 AST4 vs 5.5no clean explanationClark's 4 assists fell one short despite 37 minutes and high usage (29%), held back by 6 turnovers and an off shooting night (6-18 FG, 3-12 3PT) that limited her rhythm and playmaking opportunities.

Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.