← role_gated_lineedges · WNBA

2026-10-04

Day by day

Latest 1 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: role_gated_lineedges.

49–34 · 59% · −19.12u across the last 1 days

10/0449–3459%−19.12u2 games
LVA @ GSV23–17−10.22u
  • Gabby Williams Under 4.5 REB11 vs 4.5no clean explanationWilliams dominated the glass with 11 rebounds across 34 minutes, more than doubling the 4.5 line, as her 31% usage rate and clean foul trouble (0 PF) allowed her to stay on the court and crash consistently on both ends.
  • Veronica Burton Over 3.5 AST1 vs 3.5no clean explanationBurton was limited to 18 minutes and finished with just 1 assist despite needing 4, as poor shooting (1-6 FG, 23% TS) and low usage (23%) kept her out of rhythm as a playmaker. The combination of restricted minutes and inefficiency shut down her assist opportunities well short of the Over.
  • Gabby Williams Under 24.5 PTS25 vs 24.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationWilliams narrowly cleared the line with efficient scoring on 65% true shooting and heavy usage (31%), converting 9-of-18 from the field while playing all 34 available minutes without foul trouble.
  • A'ja Wilson Over 5.5 REB4 vs 5.5no clean explanationWilson's scoring punch (24 pts on 39% usage) masked a quiet glass night; she grabbed just 4 boards in 35 minutes, falling one short despite heavy offensive involvement, likely due to the team's poor shot selection and rebounding positioning in a lopsided game (−12 +/−).
  • Chelsea Gray Over 3.5 AST3 vs 3.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationGray fell one assist short despite playing 36 minutes and logging 26% usage, hampered by a quiet offensive night (5-14 FG) that limited her playmaking opportunities and forced her into a scoring role rather than a facilitating one.
  • Gabby Williams Under 20.5 PTS25 vs 20.5no clean explanationWilliams shot 50% from the field and 57% from three—well above her season averages—en route to 25 points in 34 minutes, exceeding the 20.5 total despite modest usage at 31%.
NYL @ ATL26–17−8.90u
  • Angel Reese Over 7.5 REB7 vs 7.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationReese fell one rebound short despite solid efficiency (67% TS) and heavy minutes (34), as her 21% usage rate and the team's offensive balance limited her total touches and second-chance opportunities on the glass.
  • Allisha Gray Over 9.5 PTS7 vs 9.5no clean explanationGray's limited 11-minute workload and poor 1-5 shooting night (20% FG) left her short of the 9.5-point line despite hitting all four free throws. The sharp drop in playing time was the primary factor in her falling two points shy of the total.
  • Sabrina Ionescu Under 15.5 PTS27 vs 15.5shots didn't fall — the read held upIonescu torched the under, shooting 10-20 from the field (50%) and 3-8 from three while logging 34 minutes and commanding 35% usage—well above what's needed to clear 15.5 points. Her elite 62% true shooting efficiency and high volume made the under untenable.
  • Jonquel Jones Under 2.5 AST4 vs 2.5shots didn't fall — the read held upJones exceeded the 2.5 assists line by dishing 4 assists while playing a full 32 minutes with elevated usage (17%), as the Liberty leaned on her playmaking from the post more than typical. The under missed despite modest offensive efficiency because she operated as a secondary facilitator alongside heavier volume touches in what appeared to be an offensive system adjustment.
  • Jordin Canada Over 5.5 AST4 vs 5.5no clean explanationCanada's offensive usage stayed low at 23% despite her efficient 82 TS%, as she prioritized scoring (25 points on 14 FG attempts) over playmaking in the flow of the offense. She fell one assist short, finishing with 4 dimes while committing 2 turnovers in 32 minutes.
  • Sabrina Ionescu Under 14.5 PTS27 vs 14.5no clean explanationIonescu torched the line on 10-20 shooting (50% FG) and 4-4 from the free-throw line, nearly doubling the under projection with her 62% true shooting and elite 35% usage rate over 34 minutes.

Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.