← role_gated_lineedges · WNBA

2026-10-09

Day by day

Latest 1 graded days from the same CORE benchmark shown in the headline, charts and sheet: role_gated_lineedges.

71–31 · 70% · −15.14u across the last 1 days

10/0971–3170%−15.14u2 games
ATL @ NYL38–19−10.52u
  • Pauline Astier Over 1.5 REB0 vs 1.5game script — blowout or foul troubleAstier played only 8 minutes with minimal involvement (12% usage), leaving her no opportunity to accumulate the 2 rebounds needed to clear the over. Her limited court time and complete absence from the glass made the 1.5 rebound line unsustainable.
  • Leonie Fiebich Over 3.5 REB2 vs 3.5shots didn't fall — the read held upFiebich played heavy minutes (37) but generated minimal rebounding activity, finishing with just 2 boards despite 12% usage—a reflection of her perimeter-heavy role and limited interior presence in a game where she struggled shooting (2-7 FG). The combination of low usage and her positioning kept her off the glass despite the extended run.
  • Leonie Fiebich Over 2.5 REB2 vs 2.5no clean explanationFiebich played heavy minutes (37) but saw minimal rebounding opportunities, finishing with just 2 boards despite 12% usage; her 2-7 shooting kept her on the perimeter rather than crashing the glass, and three personal fouls likely made her cautious about aggressive rebounding.
  • Rhyne Howard Under 20.5 PTS21 vs 20.5 — missed by a hairno clean explanationHoward's efficient 7-21 shooting night (33% FG, 40% 3PT) combined with 38 minutes of heavy usage (30%) to push her just over the line at 21 points, as Atlanta leaned on her scoring in a close contest.
  • Jonquel Jones Under 2.5 AST3 vs 2.5no clean explanationJones stayed on court for all 38 minutes and seized playmaking opportunities in a high-usage game (26%), finishing one assist above the line despite modest assist volume. Her dominance in scoring (26 pts on elite 71% TS) and rebounding (14) kept her involved in the offense enough to reach 3 dimes.
  • Pauline Astier Over 2.5 REB0 vs 2.5game script — blowout or foul troubleAstier logged just 8 minutes with 12% usage, providing minimal opportunity to accumulate boards, and failed to secure a single rebound in that limited run.
GSV @ LVA33–12−4.62u
  • Kayla Thornton Under 14.5 PTS18 vs 14.5no clean explanationThornton exceeded the under on efficient shooting, going 5-12 from the field (41.7%) with a perfect 6-7 from the free-throw line to reach 18 points in 33 minutes despite modest 22% usage. Her 60% true shooting and high free-throw volume proved enough to clear the 14.5-point threshold.
  • Stephanie Talbot Over 2.5 REB2 vs 2.5no clean explanationTalbot's minimal 5% usage rate and 0-for-2 shooting limited her involvement on the glass, resulting in just 2 rebounds across 21 minutes—she needed at least one more board to clear the over. Her restricted role and lack of offensive touches kept her from the glass-heavy activity required to hit 3+ boards.
  • Stephanie Talbot Over 4.5 PTS0 vs 4.5no clean explanationTalbot played 21 minutes but went scoreless on 2 FG attempts and 2 three-point attempts, finishing 0-for-4 from the field with just 5% usage rate. Despite the playing time, she couldn't generate any offensive production to clear the modest 4.5-point line.
  • Tiffany Hayes Under 2.5 REB6 vs 2.5no clean explanationHayes doubled the projected rebound total with 6 boards in 22 minutes, capitalizing on extended opportunity and active rebounding effort despite shooting just 4-14 from the field.
  • Jackie Young Over 6.5 AST2 vs 6.5shots didn't fall — the read held upYoung's playmaking dried up despite heavy usage and 42 minutes on the floor, tallying just 2 assists while turning the ball over 5 times—a combination of ball-handling issues and the team's offensive struggles (evident in her -10 rating) that prevented her from facilitating at the expected rate.
  • Jackie Young Over 5.5 AST2 vs 5.5shots didn't fall — the read held upYoung played 42 minutes with heavy usage (27%) but generated just 2 assists while turning the ball over 5 times, suggesting she was attacking downhill rather than facilitating, and picked up 5 fouls that limited her ability to dictate tempo. A blowout loss (-10 +/-) in which she shot inefficiently (6-16 FG) likely forced Las Vegas into isolation-heavy, low-rhythm offense rather than the ball-movement sets needed to accumulate assists.

Each eligible priced formula signal is normalized to a flat 1-unit outcome at its recorded price. Voids are excluded from the record, hit rate, and units. Open a day for the per-game split and loss review.