NBA · Nov 4 gameAll props Full sheet

Sacramento Kings at Houston Rockets

FinalSAC 89 – HOU 107Page updated 14:03 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Sacramento Kings

Domantas Sabonis · minutes unknown

rebounds 12.5 → 15 actual

Keegan Murray · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 2 actual

Malik Monk · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 18 actual

Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 15 actual

Fred VanVleet · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 12 actual

Jabari Smith Jr. · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 11 actual

Jae'Sean Tate · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 11 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

SAC expected to win by about 2.5 · both teams together expected to score about 221 points · odds to win: SAC 1.74, HOU 2.22

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 23:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:03 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 282 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Fred VanVleet · assists 6.5 → 12 · 5.5 above the line · played 36.1 min · no final price

Keegan Murray · rebounds 6.5 → 2 · 4.5 below the line · played 33.1 min · no final price

Jae'Sean Tate · points 6.5 → 11 · 4.5 above the line · played 20.7 min · no final price

Jabari Smith Jr. · rebounds 7.5 → 11 · 3.5 above the line · played 34.5 min · no final price

Domantas Sabonis · rebounds 12.5 → 15 · 2.5 above the line · played 30.7 min · no final price

Malik Monk · points 15.5 → 18 · 2.5 above the line · played 25.7 min · no final price

Alperen Sengun · points 16.5 → 15 · 1.5 below the line · played 34.3 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

HOU vs SAC · last 24 games · SAC leads · HOU record 10–14 · average score 116.1–115.9 · HOU has won by 0.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

25 Feb · SAC 97 at HOU 128HOU won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had SAC expected to win by 2.5, expected total 221 (Sat 23:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 23:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 69 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 246 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 266 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 270 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 272 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 280 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 282 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 285 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 20 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 314 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 315 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 326 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 330 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 359 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 293 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 376 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 201 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 203 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 204 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 216 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 217 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 231 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 239 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 249 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 252 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 300 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 303 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 322 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 358 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 361 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 657 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 699 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 741 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 950 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 960 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 969 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 971 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 995 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1001 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.