NBA · Dec 11 gameAll props Full sheet

Indiana Pacers at Detroit Pistons

FinalIND 131 – DET 123Page updated 10:03 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 1 actual

Obi Toppin · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 6 actual

T.J. McConnell · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 5 actual

Tyrese Haliburton · minutes unknown

assists 12.5 → 16 actual

Detroit Pistons

Ausar Thompson · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 2 actual

Cade Cunningham · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → 7 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

IND expected to win by about 7.5 · both teams together expected to score about 247.5 points · odds to win: IND 1.35, DET 3.44

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 00:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 10:03 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 277 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Aaron Nesmith · rebounds 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 26.6 min · no final price

Obi Toppin · points 12.5 → 6 · 6.5 below the line · played 12.2 min · no final price

Tyrese Haliburton · assists 12.5 → 16 · 3.5 above the line · played 32.8 min · no final price

Ausar Thompson · assists 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 33.4 min · no final price

T.J. McConnell · assists 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 15.2 min · no final price

Cade Cunningham · assists 7.5 → 7 · 0.5 below the line · played 37.6 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DET vs IND · last 26 games · IND leads · DET record 12–14 · average score 113.9–113.8 · DET has won by 0.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

12 Apr · DET 133 at IND 121DET won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had IND expected to win by 7.5, expected total 247.5 (Tue 00:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Tue 00:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 50 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 66 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 148 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 309 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 340 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 346 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 351 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 353 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 360 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 361 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 361 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 362 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 364 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 366 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 33 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 35 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 352 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 213 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 249 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 248 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 259 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 270 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 278 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 280 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 284 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 283 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 286 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 303 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 353 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 821 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 823 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 886 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 887 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 886 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 895 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 898 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 902 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.