NBA · Jan 31 gameAll props Full sheet

New Orleans Pelicans at Houston Rockets

FinalNOP 110 – HOU 99Page updated 19:36 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

New Orleans Pelicans

Herbert Jones · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → no final stat available

Trey Murphy III · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 13 actual

Zion Williamson · minutes unknown

points 22.5 → no final stat available

Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 5 actual

Amen Thompson · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 6 actual

Fred VanVleet · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Jabari Smith Jr. · minutes unknown

blocks 0.5 → 0 actual

Jae'Sean Tate · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

HOU expected to win by about 1 · both teams together expected to score about 230.5 points · odds to win: NOP 1.99, HOU 1.91

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 01:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 19:36 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 312 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Jabari Smith Jr. · blocks 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 21.8 min · no final price

Jae'Sean Tate · 3-pointers 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 6.7 min · no final price

Amen Thompson · rebounds 3.5 → 6 · 2.5 above the line · played 17.2 min · no final price

Fred VanVleet · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 37.2 min · no final price

Trey Murphy III · points 14.5 → 13 · 1.5 below the line · played 27.4 min · no final price

Alperen Sengun · assists 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 33.5 min · no final price

Herbert Jones · points 9.5 → no final stat available · no final price

Zion Williamson · points 22.5 → no final stat available · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

HOU vs NOP · last 26 games · HOU leads · HOU record 14–12 · average score 114.7–115.2 · HOU has lost by 0.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

29 Mar · HOU 134 at NOP 102HOU won

13 Mar · NOP 105 at HOU 107HOU won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had HOU expected to win by 1, expected total 230.5 (Thu 01:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Thu 01:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 113 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 174 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 325 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 329 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 328 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 332 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 356 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 378 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 382 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 388 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 411 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 417 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 421 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 422 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 337 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 114 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 188 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 201 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 204 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 209 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 217 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 226 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 234 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 234 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 249 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 255 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 303 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 307 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 310 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 340 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 749 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 785 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 559 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 565 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 567 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 578 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 623 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 623 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 624 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 724 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.