NBA · Mar 5 gameAll props Full sheet

Indiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks

FinalIND 137 – DAL 120Page updated 00:18 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 6 actual

Andrew Nembhard · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 3 actual

Ben Sheppard · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 12 actual

Obi Toppin · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 2 actual

Pascal Siakam · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

T.J. McConnell · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 13 actual

Tyrese Haliburton · minutes unknown

assists 10.5 → 11 actual

Dallas Mavericks

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

blocks 1.5 → 0 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 7 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

steals 0.5 → 1 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DAL expected to win by about 5.5 · both teams together expected to score about 247.5 points · odds to win: IND 2.87, DAL 1.47

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 01:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 00:18 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 297 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Pascal Siakam · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 31.9 min · no final price

Dereck Lively II · blocks 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 15.5 min · no final price

P.J. Washington · steals 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 37.1 min · no final price

Ben Sheppard · points 6.5 → 12 · 5.5 above the line · played 21.8 min · no final price

Kyrie Irving · rebounds 4.5 → 7 · 2.5 above the line · played 36.4 min · no final price

T.J. McConnell · points 8.5 → 13 · 4.5 above the line · played 17.9 min · no final price

Aaron Nesmith · points 12.5 → 6 · 6.5 below the line · played 22.2 min · no final price

Obi Toppin · rebounds 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 17.2 min · no final price

Andrew Nembhard · rebounds 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 24.7 min · no final price

Tyrese Haliburton · assists 10.5 → 11 · 0.5 above the line · played 31.6 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs IND · last 13 games · IND leads · DAL record 5–8 · average score 117.8–118.9 · DAL has lost by 1.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

22 Feb · DAL 134 at IND 130DAL won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DAL expected to win by 5.5, expected total 247.5 (Wed 01:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 01:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 76 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 83 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 134 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 236 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 240 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 242 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 247 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 280 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 281 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 285 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 289 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 291 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 291 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 237 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 315 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 282 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 284 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 291 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 297 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 298 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 321 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 328 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 332 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 340 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 346 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (steals)ok 200 · 360 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 372 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 379 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 383 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 386 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 387 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 389 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 397 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 665 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 416 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 673 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 425 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 629 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 635 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 654 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 678 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 683 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 746 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 936 ms

odds player timeline (steals)ok 200 · 943 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 947 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 951 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.