NBA · Mar 10 gameAll props Full sheet

Houston Rockets at Sacramento Kings

FinalHOU 112 – SAC 104Page updated 20:23 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun · minutes unknown

rebounds 10.5 → 6 actual

Amen Thompson · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 5 actual

Fred VanVleet · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 4 actual

Jabari Smith Jr. · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Sacramento Kings

Domantas Sabonis · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 25 actual

Keegan Murray · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 13 actual

Malik Monk · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 5 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

SAC expected to win by about 6.5 · both teams together expected to score about 233 points · odds to win: HOU 3.31, SAC 1.38

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 22:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 20:23 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 231 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Alperen Sengun · rebounds 10.5 → 6 · 4.5 below the line · played 29.4 min · no final price

Jabari Smith Jr. · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 33.9 min · no final price

Domantas Sabonis · points 19.5 → 25 · 5.5 above the line · played 39.6 min · no final price

Fred VanVleet · rebounds 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 38.1 min · no final price

Amen Thompson · rebounds 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 20 min · no final price

Malik Monk · assists 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 27.3 min · no final price

Keegan Murray · points 13.5 → 13 · 0.5 below the line · played 32.3 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

SAC vs HOU · last 24 games · SAC leads · SAC record 14–10 · average score 115.9–116.1 · SAC has lost by 0.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

25 Feb · SAC 97 at HOU 128SAC lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had SAC expected to win by 6.5, expected total 233 (Sun 22:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 22:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 152 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 214 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 328 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 436 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 440 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 443 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 447 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 451 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 480 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 481 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 484 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 483 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 486 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 491 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 344 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 53 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 91 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 164 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 169 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 220 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 253 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 268 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 280 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 285 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 289 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 303 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 308 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 317 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 846 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 862 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 549 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 565 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 597 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 598 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 600 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 617 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 644 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.