NBA · Mar 10 gameAll props Full sheet

Indiana Pacers at Orlando Magic

FinalIND 111 – ORL 97Page updated 20:22 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes12 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 5 actual

Andrew Nembhard · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Ben Sheppard · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Obi Toppin · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 1 actual

Pascal Siakam · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

T.J. McConnell · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 6 actual

Tyrese Haliburton · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 7 actual

Orlando Magic

Anthony Black · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 0 actual

Franz Wagner · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 2 actual

Jonathan Isaac · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 7 actual

Paolo Banchero · minutes unknown

points 24.5 → 19 actual

Wendell Carter Jr. · minutes unknown

blocks 0.5 → 1 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

IND expected to win by about 1 · both teams together expected to score about 222 points · odds to win: IND 1.93, ORL 1.97

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 22:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 20:22 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 260 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 10 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

12 other players with a posted line

Ben Sheppard · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 11.4 min · no final price

Obi Toppin · 3-pointers 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 25.4 min · no final price

Tyrese Haliburton · rebounds 3.5 → 7 · 3.5 above the line · played 35.8 min · no final price

Anthony Black · 3-pointers 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 11.3 min · no final price

Wendell Carter Jr. · blocks 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 27.7 min · no final price

Franz Wagner · assists 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 29.5 min · no final price

Jonathan Isaac · rebounds 4.5 → 7 · 2.5 above the line · played 19 min · no final price

Aaron Nesmith · rebounds 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 37.2 min · no final price

Andrew Nembhard · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 25.5 min · no final price

T.J. McConnell · assists 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 27.1 min · no final price

Paolo Banchero · points 24.5 → 19 · 5.5 below the line · played 37.9 min · no final price

Pascal Siakam · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 32.7 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

ORL vs IND · last 23 games · IND leads · ORL record 10–13 · average score 114.0–115.8 · ORL has lost by 1.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

23 Mar · IND 128 at ORL 126ORL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had IND expected to win by 1, expected total 222 (Sun 22:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 22:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 55

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 101 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 181 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 190 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 203 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 349 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 354 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 362 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 365 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 422 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 438 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 437 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 470 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 471 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 132 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 136 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 541 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 444 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 194 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 233 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 246 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 250 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 260 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 265 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 337 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 361 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 374 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 893 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 390 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 407 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 912 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 423 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 428 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 432 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 441 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 461 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 465 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 467 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 481 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 485 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 494 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 520 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 529 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 539 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 730 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 735 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 801 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 813 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 815 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 815 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 817 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 871 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1021 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1023 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1046 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1071 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.