NBA · Mar 11 gameAll props Full sheet

Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs

FinalGSW 112 – SAS 102Page updated 19:46 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes5 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Golden State Warriors

Brandin Podziemski · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 4 actual

Draymond Green · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 6 actual

Gary Payton II · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 0 actual

Moses Moody · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 2 actual

San Antonio Spurs

Keldon Johnson · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 16 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

GSW expected to win by about 5 · both teams together expected to score about 225 points · odds to win: GSW 1.52, SAS 2.72

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 00:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 19:46 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 150 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

5 other players with a posted line

Gary Payton II · rebounds 3.5 → 0 · 3.5 below the line · played 14.8 min · no final price

Moses Moody · points 9.5 → 2 · 7.5 below the line · played 12 min · no final price

Draymond Green · rebounds 8.5 → 6 · 2.5 below the line · played 27.8 min · no final price

Brandin Podziemski · assists 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 34.5 min · no final price

Keldon Johnson · points 14.5 → 16 · 1.5 above the line · played 30.3 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

SAS vs GSW · last 23 games · GSW leads · SAS record 10–13 · average score 111.1–116.3 · SAS has lost by 5.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

1 Apr · SAS 127 at GSW 113SAS won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had GSW expected to win by 5, expected total 225 (Tue 00:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Tue 00:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 34

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 97 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 155 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 171 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 348 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 354 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 380 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 382 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 385 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 407 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 410 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 436 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 439 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 440 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 346 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 445 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 152 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 165 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 221 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 229 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 237 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 251 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 258 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 792 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 814 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 538 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 542 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 556 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 565 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 577 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.