NBA · Mar 31 gameAll props Full sheet

Cleveland Cavaliers at Denver Nuggets

FinalCLE 101 – DEN 130Page updated 00:49 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Donovan Mitchell · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 6 actual

Evan Mobley · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 1 actual

Jarrett Allen · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 19 actual

Peyton Watson · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Sam Merrill · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 8 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 10 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 1 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 4.5 · both teams together expected to score about 217.5 points · odds to win: CLE 2.57, DEN 1.57

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 19:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 00:49 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 224 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Nikola Jokić · 3-pointers 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 34.6 min · no final price

Evan Mobley · assists 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 28.6 min · no final price

Christian Braun · points 6.5 → 10 · 3.5 above the line · played 28.3 min · no final price

Donovan Mitchell · assists 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 30.9 min · no final price

Sam Merrill · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 15.7 min · no final price

Jarrett Allen · points 14.5 → 19 · 4.5 above the line · played 26.5 min · no final price

Aaron Gordon · rebounds 6.5 → 8 · 1.5 above the line · played 28.6 min · no final price

Peyton Watson · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 19.9 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs CLE · last 13 games · CLE leads · DEN record 5–8 · average score 116.0–113.3 · DEN has won by 2.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

9 Feb · CLE 119 at DEN 117DEN lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 4.5, expected total 217.5 (Sun 19:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 19:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 50 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 87 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 303 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 303 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 304 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 308 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 309 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 315 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 317 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 319 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 381 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 384 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 387 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 74 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 89 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 413 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 848 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 922 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 924 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 205 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 219 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 281 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 306 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 316 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 322 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 329 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 332 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 351 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 360 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 389 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 405 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 661 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 705 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 714 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 718 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 791 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 812 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 812 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.