NBA · Apr 5 gameAll props Full sheet

Oklahoma City Thunder at Indiana Pacers

FinalOKC 112 – IND 126Page updated 21:58 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Chet Holmgren · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 0 actual

Jaylin Williams · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 0 actual

Kenrich Williams · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 8 actual

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 17 actual

Andrew Nembhard · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 3 actual

Ben Sheppard · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 2 actual

Obi Toppin · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 8 actual

Pascal Siakam · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

T.J. McConnell · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 16 actual

Tyrese Haliburton · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

IND expected to win by about 6.5 · both teams together expected to score about 235 points · odds to win: OKC 3.05, IND 1.43

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Fri 23:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 21:58 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 306 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Ben Sheppard · 3-pointers 0.5 → 2 · 1.5 above the line · played 22.8 min · no final price

Obi Toppin · rebounds 3.5 → 8 · 4.5 above the line · played 25.2 min · no final price

Cason Wallace · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 20.8 min · no final price

Chet Holmgren · assists 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 28.1 min · no final price

Jaylin Williams · assists 3.5 → 0 · 3.5 below the line · played 12.2 min · no final price

Kenrich Williams · rebounds 4.5 → 8 · 3.5 above the line · played 25.6 min · no final price

Andrew Nembhard · points 8.5 → 3 · 5.5 below the line · played 27.2 min · no final price

Tyrese Haliburton · rebounds 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 35.7 min · no final price

T.J. McConnell · points 10.5 → 16 · 5.5 above the line · played 20.8 min · no final price

Pascal Siakam · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 29.6 min · no final price

Aaron Nesmith · points 12.5 → 17 · 4.5 above the line · played 25.3 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

IND vs OKC · last 20 games · IND leads · IND record 11–9 · average score 116.0–113.7 · IND has won by 2.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

23 Jan · IND 117 at OKC 114IND won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had IND expected to win by 6.5, expected total 235 (Fri 23:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Fri 23:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 100 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 122 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 254 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 256 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 257 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 258 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 294 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 43 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 43 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 323 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 415 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 415 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 418 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 109 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 115 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 118 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 126 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 448 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 449 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 151 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 153 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 489 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 390 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 178 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 186 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 187 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 188 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 193 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 200 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 206 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 208 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 732 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1247 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1104 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1131 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1132 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1132 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1133 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1154 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1155 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1155 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1157 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1156 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1178 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.