NBA · Apr 12 gameAll props Full sheet

New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors

FinalNOP 114 – GSW 109Page updated 19:09 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

New Orleans Pelicans

Trey Murphy III · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 24 actual

Zion Williamson · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 3 actual

Golden State Warriors

Brandin Podziemski · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 1 actual

Draymond Green · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 0 actual

Moses Moody · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 9 actual

Stephen Curry · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 4 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

GSW expected to win by about 4 · both teams together expected to score about 222.5 points · odds to win: NOP 2.60, GSW 1.56

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 01:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 19:09 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 316 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Draymond Green · points 8.5 → 0 · 8.5 below the line · played 36 min · no final price

Brandin Podziemski · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 23.5 min · no final price

Trey Murphy III · points 16.5 → 24 · 7.5 above the line · played 42.2 min · no final price

Zion Williamson · assists 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 36.6 min · no final price

Stephen Curry · rebounds 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 32.4 min · no final price

Moses Moody · points 9.5 → 9 · 0.5 below the line · played 18.9 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

GSW vs NOP · last 23 games · GSW leads · GSW record 15–8 · average score 112.6–108.0 · GSW has won by 4.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

24 Feb · GSW 109 at NOP 113GSW lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had GSW expected to win by 4, expected total 222.5 (Sat 01:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 01:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 137 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 167 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 307 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 384 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 510 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 514 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 515 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 517 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 517 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 522 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 523 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 522 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 524 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 22 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 24 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 554 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 474 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 134 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 150 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 196 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 245 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 249 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 262 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 268 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 273 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 279 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 289 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 852 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 637 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1213 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 814 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 817 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 824 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 827 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 841 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.