NBA · Apr 12 gameAll props Full sheet

Toronto Raptors at Miami Heat

FinalTOR 103 – MIA 125Page updated 19:09 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes4 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Toronto Raptors

Immanuel Quickley · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → 5 actual

RJ Barrett · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 3 actual

Nikola Jović · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 22 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIA expected to win by about 14 · both teams together expected to score about 219.5 points · odds to win: TOR 7.55, MIA 1.11

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Fri 23:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 19:09 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 219 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

4 other players with a posted line

Nikola Jović · points 9.5 → 22 · 12.5 above the line · played 26.8 min · no final price

Immanuel Quickley · assists 7.5 → 5 · 2.5 below the line · played 30.3 min · no final price

Bam Adebayo · assists 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 25.4 min · no final price

RJ Barrett · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 32.6 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs TOR · last 26 games · MIA leads · MIA record 13–13 · average score 106.8–108.2 · MIA has lost by 1.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

9 Apr · MIA 114 at TOR 128MIA lost

7 Apr · MIA 95 at TOR 121MIA lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIA expected to win by 14, expected total 219.5 (Fri 23:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Fri 23:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 31

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 76 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 129 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 319 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 326 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 358 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 359 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 361 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 380 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 383 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 384 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 385 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 33 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 392 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 393 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 394 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 336 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 117 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 659 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 123 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 135 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 145 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 151 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 175 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 753 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 552 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 628 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 635 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 636 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.