NBA · May 9 gameAll props Full sheet

Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics

FinalCLE 118 – BOS 94Page updated 07:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 8 availability alerts

Out Jr. · two-way · CLE

Out Tyson · right ankle sprain (ankle) · CLE

Out Diop · on assignment · CLE

Out Tomlin · low back stress reaction (back) · CLE

Out Merrill · right elbow injury management (elbow) · CLE

Out Carter · illness · BOS

May not play Tatum · rest · BOS

May not play Pritchard · right shoulder contusion (shoulder) · BOS

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Jr. · two-way · CLE

Out Tyson · right ankle sprain (ankle) · CLE

Out Diop · on assignment · CLE

Out Tomlin · low back stress reaction (back) · CLE

Out Merrill · right elbow injury management (elbow) · CLE

Out Carter · illness · BOS

May not play Tatum · rest · BOS

May not play Pritchard · right shoulder contusion (shoulder) · BOS

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Donovan Mitchell · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 7 actual

Evan Mobley · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 5 actual

Jarrett Allen · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → no final stat available

Boston Celtics

Derrick White · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 5 actual

Jayson Tatum · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 6 actual

Payton Pritchard · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Sam Hauser · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 07:57 UTC

Who is out

Out Jr. · two-way · CLE

Out Tyson · right ankle sprain (ankle) · CLE

Out Diop · on assignment · CLE

Out Tomlin · low back stress reaction (back) · CLE

Out Merrill · right elbow injury management (elbow) · CLE

Out Carter · illness · BOS

May not play Tatum · rest · BOS

May not play Pritchard · right shoulder contusion (shoulder) · BOS

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 244 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Evan Mobley · assists 2.5 → 5 · 2.5 above the line · played 33.1 min · no final price

Sam Hauser · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 9.4 min · no final price

Derrick White · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 30.3 min · no final price

Payton Pritchard · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 19.7 min · no final price

Donovan Mitchell · rebounds 5.5 → 7 · 1.5 above the line · played 39.5 min · no final price

Jayson Tatum · assists 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 37.5 min · no final price

Jarrett Allen · points 13.5 → no final stat available · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

BOS vs CLE · last 29 games · BOS leads · BOS record 19–10 · average score 112.8–107.4 · BOS has won by 5.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

8 Oct · BOS 124 at CLE 113BOS won

8 Mar · BOS 109 at CLE 98BOS won

What each defense gives up per game

CLE gives up114.1 points · 46.1 rebounds · 25.9 assists · 33.8% from three-point range

BOS gives up104.3 points · 43.5 rebounds · 25.2 assists · 33.8% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

CLE gives up 114.1 points a game · 17th of 30 · league average 113.4about league average

BOS gives up 104.3 points a game · 4th of 30 · league average 113.4−9.1 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 54

sds games/date (2024-05-08)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-05)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 20 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-04)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-02)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-03)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-30)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-01)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-26)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-07)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-28)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds games/date (2024-05-06)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-27)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-29)ok 200 · 35 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 36 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 36 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 36 ms

sds games/date (2024-04-25)ok 200 · 37 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 40 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 116 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 118 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 118 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 125 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 126 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 166 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 170 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 136 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 50 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 50 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 258 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 667 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 78 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 79 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 87 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 88 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 172 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 177 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 179 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 189 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 199 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 200 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 204 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 206 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 211 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 216 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 254 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 260 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 274 ms

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The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.