NBA · Nov 4 gameAll props Full sheet

Boston Celtics at Atlanta Hawks

FinalBOS 123 – ATL 93Page updated 04:34 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Boston Celtics

Derrick White · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 6 actual

Jayson Tatum · minutes unknown

points 30.5 → 28 actual

Neemias Queta · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 10 actual

Payton Pritchard · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 4 actual

Sam Hauser · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 10 actual

Atlanta Hawks

Dyson Daniels · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 3 actual

Jalen Johnson · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 4 actual

Onyeka Okongwu · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 18 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

BOS expected to win by about 10 · both teams together expected to score about 232 points · odds to win: BOS 1.21, ATL 4.88

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 00:40 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 04:34 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

ATL also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 273 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Onyeka Okongwu · points 9.5 → 18 · 8.5 above the line · played 22.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Derrick White · assists 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 29.3 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.40, Under 2.80

Dyson Daniels · assists 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 23.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.77, Under 1.97

Sam Hauser · points 8.5 → 10 · 1.5 above the line · played 19.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Payton Pritchard · assists 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 25.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.70, Under 2.07

Jalen Johnson · assists 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 30.6 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.12, Under 1.67

Jayson Tatum · points 30.5 → 28 · 2.5 below the line · played 30.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.32, Under 2.90

Neemias Queta · points 9.5 → 10 · 0.5 above the line · played 23.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.00

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

ATL vs BOS · last 28 games · BOS leads · ATL record 12–16 · average score 112.1–116.0 · ATL has lost by 3.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

30 Mar · BOS 102 at ATL 112ATL won

27 Mar · ATL 102 at BOS 109ATL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had BOS expected to win by 10, expected total 232 (Tue 00:40 UTC) and had not changed it by Tue 00:40 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 72 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 95 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 110 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 112 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 213 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 315 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 307 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 325 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 333 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 344 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 371 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 373 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 380 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 391 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 62 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 343 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 100 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 163 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 210 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 242 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 261 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 284 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 323 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 359 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 362 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 366 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 385 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1172 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1440 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1239 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1256 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1293 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1307 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1508 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1509 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1510 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.