NBA · Nov 4 gameAll props Full sheet

Indiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks

FinalIND 134 – DAL 127Page updated 04:34 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Indiana Pacers

Andrew Nembhard · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 3 actual

Ben Sheppard · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 3 actual

Obi Toppin · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 11 actual

Pascal Siakam · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

T.J. McConnell · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 12 actual

Tyrese Haliburton · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 25 actual

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 4 actual

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → no final stat available

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

points + rebounds 8.5 → 25 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 11 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DAL expected to win by about 4.5 · both teams together expected to score about 236 points · odds to win: IND 2.57, DAL 1.57

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 02:40 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 04:34 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

DAL also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 315 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Naji Marshall · points + rebounds 8.5 → 25 · 16.5 above the line · played 33.7 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.78, Under 2.00

P.J. Washington · rebounds 6.5 → 11 · 4.5 above the line · played 34.9 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.35, Under 1.55

Ben Sheppard · points 7.5 → 3 · 4.5 below the line · played 16.7 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.78, Under 2.04

Tyrese Haliburton · points 17.5 → 25 · 7.5 above the line · played 35.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.71, Under 2.06

Andrew Nembhard · assists 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 28.8 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.78, Under 2.04

Pascal Siakam · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 35.6 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.18, Under 1.64

Daniel Gafford · rebounds 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 15.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.75, Under 1.42

T.J. McConnell · points 9.5 → 12 · 2.5 above the line · played 20.1 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.96, Under 1.85

Kyrie Irving · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 39.6 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.36, Under 2.95

Obi Toppin · points 10.5 → 11 · 0.5 above the line · played 24.3 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.98, Under 1.83

Dereck Lively II · rebounds 7.5 → no final stat available · FanDuel odds: Over 2.16, Under 1.70

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs IND · last 13 games · IND leads · DAL record 5–8 · average score 117.8–118.9 · DAL has lost by 1.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

22 Feb · DAL 134 at IND 130DAL won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DAL expected to win by 4.5, expected total 236 (Tue 02:40 UTC) and had not changed it by Tue 02:40 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 97 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 108 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 120 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 308 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 319 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 358 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 362 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 378 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 383 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 401 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 401 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 402 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 422 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 343 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 83 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 85 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 501 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 254 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 312 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 313 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 335 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 350 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 429 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 435 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 437 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 470 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 492 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 512 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 557 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 573 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 590 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 599 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 602 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 609 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 612 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 629 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pr)ok 200 · 639 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 649 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 655 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1560 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1821 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1412 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1434 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1437 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1491 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1493 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1495 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1551 ms

odds player timeline (pr)ok 200 · 1704 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1704 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1706 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1707 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.