NBA · Mar 27 gameAll props Full sheet

Indiana Pacers at Washington Wizards

FinalIND 162 – WAS 109Page updated 01:02 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 7 availability alerts

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Out Watkins · left aclrepair/surgery · WAS

Out Champagnie · right foot surgery (foot) · WAS

Out Beekman · right acjoint injury · WAS

Out Vukčević · left hip impingement (hip) · WAS

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Out Watkins · left aclrepair/surgery · WAS

Out Champagnie · right foot surgery (foot) · WAS

Out Beekman · right acjoint injury · WAS

Out Vukčević · left hip impingement (hip) · WAS

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 11 actual

Andrew Nembhard · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 7 actual

Obi Toppin · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 15 actual

Pascal Siakam · minutes unknown

points 20.5 → 13 actual

T.J. McConnell · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 10 actual

Tyrese Haliburton · Out · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · listed out, then played

points + rebounds + assists 31.5 → 37 actual

Washington Wizards

Alex Sarr · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 22 actual

Khris Middleton · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Justin Champagnie · Out · right foot surgery (foot) · listed out, then played

points 8.5 → 15 actual

Tristan Vukčević · Out · left hip impingement (hip) · listed out, then played

points 11.5 → 4 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

IND expected to win by about 12 · both teams together expected to score about 235 points · odds to win: IND 1.15, WAS 6.21

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 22:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 01:02 UTC

Who is out

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Out Watkins · left aclrepair/surgery · WAS

Out Champagnie · right foot surgery (foot) · WAS

Out Beekman · right acjoint injury · WAS

Out Vukčević · left hip impingement (hip) · WAS

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 262 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Justin Champagnie · points 8.5 → 15 · 6.5 above the line · played 33.3 min · no final price

Tristan Vukčević · points 11.5 → 4 · 7.5 below the line · played 14.6 min · no final price

Obi Toppin · points 9.5 → 15 · 5.5 above the line · played 16.5 min · no final price

T.J. McConnell · points 6.5 → 10 · 3.5 above the line · played 17.2 min · no final price

Khris Middleton · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 14 min · no final price

Pascal Siakam · points 20.5 → 13 · 7.5 below the line · played 22.8 min · no final price

Andrew Nembhard · points 9.5 → 7 · 2.5 below the line · played 20.2 min · no final price

Alex Sarr · points 17.5 → 22 · 4.5 above the line · played 27.5 min · no final price

Tyrese Haliburton · points + rebounds + assists 31.5 → 37 · 5.5 above the line · played 25 min · no final price

Aaron Nesmith · points 12.5 → 11 · 1.5 below the line · played 18.6 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

WAS vs IND · last 24 games · IND leads · WAS record 11–13 · average score 117.4–121.1 · WAS has lost by 3.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

IND gives up115.2 points · 47.5 rebounds · 27.1 assists · 35.9% from three-point range

WAS gives up113.4 points · 47.8 rebounds · 27.4 assists · 31.2% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

IND gives up 115.2 points a game · 20th of 30 · league average 113.3+1.9 vs average

WAS gives up 113.4 points a game · 16th of 30 · league average 113.3about league average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 28 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 30 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 33 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 33 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 81 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 102 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 141 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 142 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 142 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 144 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 145 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 171 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 202 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 229 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 202 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 90 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 92 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 93 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 94 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 100 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 101 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 186 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 188 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 211 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 224 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 229 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 231 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 235 ms

odds player timeline (pra)failed 503 · 236 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 237 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 238 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 241 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 242 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 243 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 247 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 256 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 261 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 269 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 292 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 301 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 558 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.