NBA · Apr 24 gameAll props Full sheet

Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies

FinalOKC 114 – MEM 108Page updated 21:59 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 13 availability alerts

Out Mitchell · left ankle sprain (ankle) · OKC

Out Wallace · left shoulder surgery (shoulder) · OKC

Out Holmgren · right knee/injury recovery (knee) · OKC

Out J. Williams (OKC) · left ankle surgery (ankle)

Out J. Williams (OKC) · low back spasms (back)

Out Topić · on assignment · OKC

Out Sorber · right knee surgery (knee) · OKC

May not play Stewart · right knee bone bruise (knee) · MEM

May not play Mashack · two-way · MEM

Out López · on assignment · MEM

Out Post · concussion (concussion) · MEM

Out Saunders · right knee surgery (knee) · MEM

Out Jr. · lumbar disc herniation · MEM

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Mitchell · left ankle sprain (ankle) · OKC

Out Wallace · left shoulder surgery (shoulder) · OKC

Out Holmgren · right knee/injury recovery (knee) · OKC

Out J. Williams (OKC) · left ankle surgery (ankle)

Out J. Williams (OKC) · low back spasms (back)

Out Topić · on assignment · OKC

Out Sorber · right knee surgery (knee) · OKC

May not play Stewart · right knee bone bruise (knee) · MEM

May not play Mashack · two-way · MEM

Out López · on assignment · MEM

Out Post · concussion (concussion) · MEM

Out Saunders · right knee surgery (knee) · MEM

Out Jr. · lumbar disc herniation · MEM

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Alex Caruso · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 10 actual

Isaiah Hartenstein · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 22.5 → 14 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

points 31.5 → 31 actual

Cason Wallace · Out · left shoulder surgery (shoulder) · listed out, then played

points 5.5 → 5 actual

Chet Holmgren · Out · right knee/injury recovery (knee) · listed out, then played

points + rebounds + assists 27.5 → 32 actual

Jalen Williams · Out · left ankle surgery (ankle) · listed out, then played

points 21.5 → 26 actual

Memphis Grizzlies

Zach Edey · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 9 actual

Scotty Pippen Jr. · Out · lumbar disc herniation · listed out, then played

points 11.5 → 28 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

OKC expected to win by about 9.5 · both teams together expected to score about 230 points · odds to win: OKC 1.24, MEM 4.40

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Fri 01:30 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 21:59 UTC

Who is out

Out Mitchell · left ankle sprain (ankle) · OKC

Out Wallace · left shoulder surgery (shoulder) · OKC

Out Holmgren · right knee/injury recovery (knee) · OKC

Out J. Williams (OKC) · left ankle surgery (ankle)

Out J. Williams (OKC) · low back spasms (back)

Out Topić · on assignment · OKC

Out Sorber · right knee surgery (knee) · OKC

May not play Stewart · right knee bone bruise (knee) · MEM

May not play Mashack · two-way · MEM

Out López · on assignment · MEM

Out Post · concussion (concussion) · MEM

Out Saunders · right knee surgery (knee) · MEM

Out Jr. · lumbar disc herniation · MEM

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 264 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Scotty Pippen Jr. · points 11.5 → 28 · 16.5 above the line · played 38.3 min · no final price

Isaiah Hartenstein · points + rebounds + assists 22.5 → 14 · 8.5 below the line · played 20.9 min · no final price

Alex Caruso · points 7.5 → 10 · 2.5 above the line · played 23.1 min · no final price

Jalen Williams · points 21.5 → 26 · 4.5 above the line · played 37.2 min · no final price

Chet Holmgren · points + rebounds + assists 27.5 → 32 · 4.5 above the line · played 32.2 min · no final price

Cason Wallace · points 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 24 min · no final price

Zach Edey · points 8.5 → 9 · 0.5 above the line · played 29.6 min · no final price

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · points 31.5 → 31 · 0.5 below the line · played 40.4 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MEM vs OKC · last 28 games · OKC leads · MEM record 8–20 · average score 110.3–115.0 · MEM has lost by 4.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

6 Nov · OKC 128 at MEM 97MEM lost

What each defense gives up per game

OKC gives up105.9 points · 44.7 rebounds · 24.6 assists · 33.1% from three-point range

MEM gives up110.8 points · 41.9 rebounds · 24.1 assists · 32.9% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

OKC gives up 105.9 points a game · 4th of 30 · league average 113.3−7.4 vs average

MEM gives up 110.8 points a game · 11th of 30 · league average 113.3−2.5 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 57

sds games/date (2025-04-18)ok 200 · 77 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-17)ok 200 · 80 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-16)ok 200 · 80 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-15)ok 200 · 81 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-14)ok 200 · 83 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-12)ok 200 · 84 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 96 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-23)ok 200 · 124 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-22)ok 200 · 125 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-21)ok 200 · 125 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-19)ok 200 · 124 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-20)ok 200 · 124 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-13)ok 200 · 125 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-11)ok 200 · 125 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 126 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 145 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 145 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 145 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 149 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 149 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 223 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 226 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 9 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 238 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 246 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 248 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 248 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-10)ok 200 · 254 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 105 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 354 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 734 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 128 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 127 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 130 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 129 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 130 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 132 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 131 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 130 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 136 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 181 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 220 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 229 ms

odds player timeline (pra)failed 503 · 234 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 236 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 240 ms

odds player timeline (pra)failed 503 · 256 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 258 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 284 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 285 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 286 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 713 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.