NBA · May 6 gameAll props Full sheet

Indiana Pacers at Cleveland Cavaliers

FinalIND 120 – CLE 119Page updated 20:23 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 9 availability alerts

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

May not play McConnell · right hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Out Jr. · two-way · CLE

May not play Tyson · right ankle sprain (ankle) · CLE

Out Diop · on assignment · CLE

Out Tomlin · low back stress reaction (back) · CLE

Out Merrill · right elbow injury management (elbow) · CLE

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

May not play McConnell · right hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Out Jr. · two-way · CLE

May not play Tyson · right ankle sprain (ankle) · CLE

Out Diop · on assignment · CLE

Out Tomlin · low back stress reaction (back) · CLE

Out Merrill · right elbow injury management (elbow) · CLE

Players and minutes12 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 23 actual

Andrew Nembhard · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 13 actual

Jarace Walker · minutes unknown

points 2.5 → 0 actual

Obi Toppin · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 7 actual

Pascal Siakam · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 12 actual

T.J. McConnell · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 13.5 → 9 actual

Ben Sheppard · Out · left meniscus surgery · listed out, then played

steals 0.5 → 0 actual

Tyrese Haliburton · Out · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · listed out, then played

points 18.5 → 19 actual

Cleveland Cavaliers

Donovan Mitchell · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 5 actual

Evan Mobley · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → no final stat available

Jarrett Allen · minutes unknown

rebounds 11.5 → 12 actual

Sam Merrill · Out · right elbow injury management (elbow) · listed out, then played

points 6.5 → 14 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 20:23 UTC

Who is out

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

May not play McConnell · right hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Out Jr. · two-way · CLE

May not play Tyson · right ankle sprain (ankle) · CLE

Out Diop · on assignment · CLE

Out Tomlin · low back stress reaction (back) · CLE

Out Merrill · right elbow injury management (elbow) · CLE

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 340 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 11 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

12 other players with a posted line

Sam Merrill · points 6.5 → 14 · 7.5 above the line · played 26.1 min · no final price

Jarace Walker · points 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 3.4 min · no final price

Ben Sheppard · steals 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 5.9 min · no final price

Aaron Nesmith · points 12.5 → 23 · 10.5 above the line · played 33.3 min · no final price

Pascal Siakam · points 19.5 → 12 · 7.5 below the line · played 29.8 min · no final price

T.J. McConnell · points + rebounds + assists 13.5 → 9 · 4.5 below the line · played 13.9 min · no final price

Donovan Mitchell · rebounds 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 35.8 min · no final price

Obi Toppin · points 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 15.8 min · no final price

Jarrett Allen · rebounds 11.5 → 12 · 0.5 above the line · played 37.8 min · no final price

Andrew Nembhard · points 12.5 → 13 · 0.5 above the line · played 36.3 min · no final price

Tyrese Haliburton · points 18.5 → 19 · 0.5 above the line · played 36 min · no final price

Evan Mobley · points 17.5 → no final stat available · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CLE vs IND · last 31 games · CLE leads · CLE record 16–15 · average score 114.0–113.3 · CLE has won by 0.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

5 Apr · IND 108 at CLE 117CLE won

What each defense gives up per game

IND gives up115.2 points · 47.5 rebounds · 27.1 assists · 35.9% from three-point range

CLE gives up115.0 points · 46.4 rebounds · 26.2 assists · 35.5% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

IND gives up 115.2 points a game · 20th of 30 · league average 113.3+1.9 vs average

CLE gives up 115.0 points a game · 19th of 30 · league average 113.3+1.7 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 69

sds games/date (2025-05-03)ok 200 · 101 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-02)ok 200 · 102 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 121 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-05)ok 200 · 172 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-04)ok 200 · 172 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-01)ok 200 · 174 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-30)ok 200 · 175 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-29)ok 200 · 177 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-27)ok 200 · 178 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-28)ok 200 · 179 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-26)ok 200 · 178 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-25)ok 200 · 178 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-24)ok 200 · 179 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-23)ok 200 · 179 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-22)ok 200 · 188 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 189 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 213 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 215 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 216 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 216 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 256 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 271 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 317 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 323 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 358 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 359 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 361 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 75 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 75 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 431 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 255 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 551 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 2495 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 192 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 203 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 212 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 213 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 214 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 226 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 236 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 246 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 254 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 260 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 284 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 294 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 298 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 302 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 307 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 314 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 320 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 328 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 374 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 376 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (steals)ok 200 · 393 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 396 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 397 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 418 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 420 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 421 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 422 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 459 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 470 ms

odds player timeline (steals)failed 503 · 472 ms

odds player timeline (pra)failed 503 · 505 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 526 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.