NBA · May 13 gameAll props Full sheet

Indiana Pacers at Cleveland Cavaliers

FinalIND 114 – CLE 105Page updated 19:45 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 9 availability alerts

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

May not play McConnell · right hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Out Jr. · two-way · CLE

May not play Tyson · right ankle sprain (ankle) · CLE

Out Diop · on assignment · CLE

Out Tomlin · low back stress reaction (back) · CLE

Out Merrill · right elbow injury management (elbow) · CLE

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

May not play McConnell · right hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Out Jr. · two-way · CLE

May not play Tyson · right ankle sprain (ankle) · CLE

Out Diop · on assignment · CLE

Out Tomlin · low back stress reaction (back) · CLE

Out Merrill · right elbow injury management (elbow) · CLE

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 13 actual

Andrew Nembhard · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 18 actual

Obi Toppin · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 5 actual

Pascal Siakam · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 8 actual

T.J. McConnell · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 2 actual

Tyrese Haliburton · Out · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · listed out, then played

points + rebounds + assists 30.5 → 45 actual

Cleveland Cavaliers

Donovan Mitchell · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 9 actual

Evan Mobley · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 24 actual

Jarrett Allen · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 9 actual

Thomas Bryant · minutes unknown

points 3.5 → 9 actual

Sam Merrill · Out · right elbow injury management (elbow)

points 4.5 → no final stat available

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 19:45 UTC

Who is out

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

May not play McConnell · right hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Out Jr. · two-way · CLE

May not play Tyson · right ankle sprain (ankle) · CLE

Out Diop · on assignment · CLE

Out Tomlin · low back stress reaction (back) · CLE

Out Merrill · right elbow injury management (elbow) · CLE

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 263 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Aaron Nesmith · rebounds 4.5 → 13 · 8.5 above the line · played 37.1 min · no final price

Thomas Bryant · points 3.5 → 9 · 5.5 above the line · played 10.7 min · no final price

Donovan Mitchell · rebounds 4.5 → 9 · 4.5 above the line · played 37.7 min · no final price

Andrew Nembhard · points 11.5 → 18 · 6.5 above the line · played 37.1 min · no final price

T.J. McConnell · assists 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 10.1 min · no final price

Tyrese Haliburton · points + rebounds + assists 30.5 → 45 · 14.5 above the line · played 36.4 min · no final price

Obi Toppin · points 7.5 → 5 · 2.5 below the line · played 12.2 min · no final price

Jarrett Allen · points 13.5 → 9 · 4.5 below the line · played 29.7 min · no final price

Evan Mobley · points 18.5 → 24 · 5.5 above the line · played 37.4 min · no final price

Pascal Siakam · rebounds 6.5 → 8 · 1.5 above the line · played 39.6 min · no final price

Sam Merrill · points 4.5 → no final stat available · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CLE vs IND · last 31 games · CLE leads · CLE record 16–15 · average score 114.0–113.3 · CLE has won by 0.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

5 Apr · IND 108 at CLE 117CLE won

What each defense gives up per game

IND gives up115.2 points · 47.5 rebounds · 27.1 assists · 35.9% from three-point range

CLE gives up115.0 points · 46.4 rebounds · 26.2 assists · 35.5% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

IND gives up 115.2 points a game · 20th of 30 · league average 113.3+1.9 vs average

CLE gives up 115.0 points a game · 19th of 30 · league average 113.3+1.7 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 66

sds games/date (2025-05-03)ok 200 · 139 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-02)ok 200 · 140 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 147 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-08)ok 200 · 153 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-07)ok 200 · 264 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-06)ok 200 · 264 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-05)ok 200 · 265 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-04)ok 200 · 282 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-01)ok 200 · 282 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-30)ok 200 · 281 ms

sds games/date (2025-04-29)ok 200 · 281 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 283 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 286 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 286 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-12)ok 200 · 288 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-10)ok 200 · 288 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-09)ok 200 · 288 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-11)ok 200 · 299 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 310 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 310 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 310 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 348 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 357 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 383 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 418 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 423 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 430 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 435 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 474 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 8 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 267 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 159 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 164 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 165 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 168 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 176 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 186 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 203 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 213 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 216 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 248 ms

odds player timeline (pra)failed 503 · 247 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 258 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 263 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 262 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 287 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 779 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 301 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 315 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 370 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 381 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 383 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 398 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 403 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 412 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 421 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 431 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 435 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 435 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 481 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 500 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 507 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.