NBA · Jun 13 gameAll props Full sheet

Oklahoma City Thunder at Indiana Pacers

FinalOKC 111 – IND 104Page updated 07:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 9 availability alerts

Out Wallace · left shoulder surgery (shoulder) · OKC

Out Holmgren · right knee/injury recovery (knee) · OKC

Out J. Williams (OKC) · left ankle surgery (ankle)

Out J. Williams (OKC) · low back spasms (back)

Out Topić · on assignment · OKC

Out Sorber · right kneesurgery (knee) · OKC

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Wallace · left shoulder surgery (shoulder) · OKC

Out Holmgren · right knee/injury recovery (knee) · OKC

Out J. Williams (OKC) · left ankle surgery (ankle)

Out J. Williams (OKC) · low back spasms (back)

Out Topić · on assignment · OKC

Out Sorber · right kneesurgery (knee) · OKC

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Players and minutes13 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Alex Caruso · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 0 actual

Isaiah Hartenstein · minutes unknown

assists 1.5 → 3 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 0 actual

Cason Wallace · Out · left shoulder surgery (shoulder) · listed out, then played

points 5.5 → 2 actual

Chet Holmgren · Out · right knee/injury recovery (knee) · listed out, then played

assists 1.5 → 1 actual

Jalen Williams · Out · left ankle surgery (ankle) · listed out, then played

assists 4.5 → 3 actual

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 9 actual

Andrew Nembhard · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 2 actual

Obi Toppin · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 7 actual

Pascal Siakam · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 5 actual

T.J. McConnell · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 8 actual

Ben Sheppard · Out · left meniscus surgery · listed out, then played

points 2.5 → 3 actual

Tyrese Haliburton · Out · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · listed out, then played

rebounds 5.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

OKC expected to win by about 6 · both teams together expected to score about 228 points · odds to win: OKC 1.43, IND 3.02

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 00:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 07:57 UTC

Who is out

Out Wallace · left shoulder surgery (shoulder) · OKC

Out Holmgren · right knee/injury recovery (knee) · OKC

Out J. Williams (OKC) · left ankle surgery (ankle)

Out J. Williams (OKC) · low back spasms (back)

Out Topić · on assignment · OKC

Out Sorber · right kneesurgery (knee) · OKC

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 306 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

13 other players with a posted line

Alex Caruso · assists 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 30.4 min · no final price

Isaiah Hartenstein · assists 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 21.2 min · no final price

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · assists 6.5 → 0 · 6.5 below the line · played 40.1 min · no final price

Aaron Nesmith · rebounds 4.5 → 9 · 4.5 above the line · played 30 min · no final price

Cason Wallace · points 5.5 → 2 · 3.5 below the line · played 18.6 min · no final price

Tyrese Haliburton · rebounds 5.5 → 2 · 3.5 below the line · played 36.4 min · no final price

Andrew Nembhard · assists 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 35.9 min · no final price

Obi Toppin · rebounds 4.5 → 7 · 2.5 above the line · played 28.8 min · no final price

Pascal Siakam · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 35 min · no final price

Chet Holmgren · assists 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 37.2 min · no final price

Jalen Williams · assists 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 35.8 min · no final price

Ben Sheppard · points 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 11.6 min · no final price

T.J. McConnell · points 7.5 → 8 · 0.5 above the line · played 17.9 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

IND vs OKC · last 20 games · IND leads · IND record 11–9 · average score 116.0–113.7 · IND has won by 2.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

13 Oct · IND 112 at OKC 114IND lost

What each defense gives up per game

OKC gives up104.2 points · 44.8 rebounds · 24.4 assists · 32.6% from three-point range

IND gives up114.2 points · 47.9 rebounds · 27.2 assists · 35.5% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

OKC gives up 104.2 points a game · 2nd of 30 · league average 113.4−9.2 vs average

IND gives up 114.2 points a game · 18th of 30 · league average 113.4about league average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 72

sds games/date (2025-06-08)ok 200 · 41 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-11)ok 200 · 42 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-05)ok 200 · 44 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-31)ok 200 · 70 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 73 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 114 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 114 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 116 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 124 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 142 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 142 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 153 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-12)ok 200 · 175 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-09)ok 200 · 176 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-07)ok 200 · 181 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 185 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 217 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 220 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-10)ok 200 · 221 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-03)ok 200 · 222 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-06)ok 200 · 224 ms

sds games/date (2025-05-30)ok 200 · 230 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-01)ok 200 · 233 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 236 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-02)ok 200 · 257 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 143 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 259 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-04)ok 200 · 261 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 263 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 268 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 365 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 161 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 187 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 188 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 193 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 195 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 196 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 197 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 202 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 221 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 222 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 223 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 230 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 232 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 234 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 248 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 259 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 267 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 282 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 290 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 296 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 305 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 311 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 317 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 318 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 342 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 342 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 345 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 346 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 360 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 365 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 366 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 372 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 377 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 387 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 401 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 414 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 427 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.