NBA · Jun 16 gameAll props Full sheet

Indiana Pacers at Oklahoma City Thunder

FinalIND 109 – OKC 120Page updated 07:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 9 availability alerts

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Out Wallace · left shoulder surgery (shoulder) · OKC

Out Holmgren · right knee/injury recovery (knee) · OKC

Out J. Williams (OKC) · left ankle surgery (ankle)

Out J. Williams (OKC) · low back spasms (back)

Out Topić · on assignment · OKC

Out Sorber · right kneesurgery (knee) · OKC

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Out Wallace · left shoulder surgery (shoulder) · OKC

Out Holmgren · right knee/injury recovery (knee) · OKC

Out J. Williams (OKC) · left ankle surgery (ankle)

Out J. Williams (OKC) · low back spasms (back)

Out Topić · on assignment · OKC

Out Sorber · right kneesurgery (knee) · OKC

Players and minutes14 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 6 actual

Andrew Nembhard · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

Obi Toppin · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 4 actual

Pascal Siakam · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 5 actual

T.J. McConnell · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 18 actual

Ben Sheppard · Out · left meniscus surgery · listed out, then played

points 2.5 → 0 actual

Tyrese Haliburton · Out · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · listed out, then played

points 17.5 → 4 actual

Oklahoma City Thunder

Alex Caruso · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 2 actual

Isaiah Hartenstein · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 4 actual

Kenrich Williams · minutes unknown

points 2.5 → 0 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 10 actual

Cason Wallace · Out · left shoulder surgery (shoulder) · listed out, then played

assists 1.5 → 0 actual

Chet Holmgren · Out · right knee/injury recovery (knee) · listed out, then played

assists 1.5 → 0 actual

Jalen Williams · Out · left ankle surgery (ankle) · listed out, then played

assists 5.5 → 4 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

OKC expected to win by about 9 · both teams together expected to score about 223.5 points · odds to win: IND 3.99, OKC 1.28

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 00:30 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 07:57 UTC

Who is out

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Out Wallace · left shoulder surgery (shoulder) · OKC

Out Holmgren · right knee/injury recovery (knee) · OKC

Out J. Williams (OKC) · left ankle surgery (ankle)

Out J. Williams (OKC) · low back spasms (back)

Out Topić · on assignment · OKC

Out Sorber · right kneesurgery (knee) · OKC

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 300 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

14 other players with a posted line

T.J. McConnell · points 7.5 → 18 · 10.5 above the line · played 22 min · no final price

Ben Sheppard · points 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 6 min · no final price

Kenrich Williams · points 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 10.7 min · no final price

Cason Wallace · assists 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 17.5 min · no final price

Chet Holmgren · assists 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 33.7 min · no final price

Tyrese Haliburton · points 17.5 → 4 · 13.5 below the line · played 34.2 min · no final price

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · assists 6.5 → 10 · 3.5 above the line · played 38 min · no final price

Pascal Siakam · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 33.3 min · no final price

Isaiah Hartenstein · points 6.5 → 4 · 2.5 below the line · played 20.9 min · no final price

Aaron Nesmith · rebounds 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 24.5 min · no final price

Obi Toppin · rebounds 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 21.7 min · no final price

Jalen Williams · assists 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 35.2 min · no final price

Alex Caruso · assists 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 29.3 min · no final price

Andrew Nembhard · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 35.6 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

OKC vs IND · last 20 games · IND leads · OKC record 9–11 · average score 113.7–116.0 · OKC has lost by 2.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

13 Oct · IND 112 at OKC 114OKC won

What each defense gives up per game

IND gives up114.2 points · 47.9 rebounds · 27.2 assists · 35.5% from three-point range

OKC gives up104.2 points · 44.8 rebounds · 24.4 assists · 32.6% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

IND gives up 114.2 points a game · 18th of 30 · league average 113.4about league average

OKC gives up 104.2 points a game · 2nd of 30 · league average 113.4−9.2 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 75

sds games/date (2025-06-03)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-14)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-13)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-08)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-12)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-15)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-07)ok 200 · 18 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-06)ok 200 · 18 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-05)ok 200 · 19 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-02)ok 200 · 20 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-11)ok 200 · 21 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-09)ok 200 · 21 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 22 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-10)ok 200 · 23 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-04)ok 200 · 25 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 29 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 39 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 98 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 98 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 100 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 101 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 103 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 107 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 107 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 10 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 93 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 136 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 77 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 226 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 91 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 92 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 96 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 95 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 96 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 105 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 127 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 131 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 165 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 171 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 171 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 171 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 172 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 173 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 193 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 201 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 202 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 252 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 258 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 262 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 275 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 275 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 276 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 347 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 351 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 403 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 573 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 591 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 595 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 602 ms

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The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.