NBA · Jun 22 gameAll props Full sheet

Indiana Pacers at Oklahoma City Thunder

FinalIND 91 – OKC 103Page updated 07:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 9 availability alerts

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Out Wallace · left shoulder surgery (shoulder) · OKC

Out Holmgren · right knee/injury recovery (knee) · OKC

Out J. Williams (OKC) · left ankle surgery (ankle)

Out J. Williams (OKC) · low back spasms (back)

Out Topić · on assignment · OKC

Out Sorber · right kneesurgery (knee) · OKC

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Out Wallace · left shoulder surgery (shoulder) · OKC

Out Holmgren · right knee/injury recovery (knee) · OKC

Out J. Williams (OKC) · left ankle surgery (ankle)

Out J. Williams (OKC) · low back spasms (back)

Out Topić · on assignment · OKC

Out Sorber · right kneesurgery (knee) · OKC

Players and minutes14 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 3 actual

Andrew Nembhard · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 6 actual

Obi Toppin · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Pascal Siakam · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

T.J. McConnell · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 16 actual

Ben Sheppard · Out · left meniscus surgery · listed out, then played

points 1.5 → 0 actual

Tyrese Haliburton · Out · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · listed out, then played

assists 6.5 → 0 actual

Oklahoma City Thunder

Alex Caruso · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 0 actual

Isaiah Hartenstein · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 7 actual

Kenrich Williams · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 1 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 12 actual

Cason Wallace · Out · left shoulder surgery (shoulder) · listed out, then played

points 4.5 → 10 actual

Chet Holmgren · Out · right knee/injury recovery (knee) · listed out, then played

points 15.5 → 18 actual

Jalen Williams · Out · left ankle surgery (ankle) · listed out, then played

assists 4.5 → 4 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

OKC expected to win by about 6.5 · both teams together expected to score about 215.5 points · odds to win: IND 3.19, OKC 1.40

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 23:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 07:57 UTC

Who is out

Out Sheppard · left meniscus surgery · IND

Out Furphy · right aclrepair/surgery · IND

Out Haliburton · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · IND

Out Wallace · left shoulder surgery (shoulder) · OKC

Out Holmgren · right knee/injury recovery (knee) · OKC

Out J. Williams (OKC) · left ankle surgery (ankle)

Out J. Williams (OKC) · low back spasms (back)

Out Topić · on assignment · OKC

Out Sorber · right kneesurgery (knee) · OKC

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 283 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 10 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

14 other players with a posted line

Cason Wallace · points 4.5 → 10 · 5.5 above the line · played 26.1 min · no final price

Obi Toppin · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 20.6 min · no final price

Ben Sheppard · points 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 16.2 min · no final price

Tyrese Haliburton · assists 6.5 → 0 · 6.5 below the line · played 7.1 min · no final price

Alex Caruso · assists 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 32.4 min · no final price

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · assists 6.5 → 12 · 5.5 above the line · played 40.2 min · no final price

Aaron Nesmith · points 10.5 → 3 · 7.5 below the line · played 30.5 min · no final price

T.J. McConnell · points 9.5 → 16 · 6.5 above the line · played 28.1 min · no final price

Kenrich Williams · rebounds 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 4.6 min · no final price

Pascal Siakam · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 36.9 min · no final price

Andrew Nembhard · assists 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 36.7 min · no final price

Isaiah Hartenstein · points 5.5 → 7 · 1.5 above the line · played 18.2 min · no final price

Chet Holmgren · points 15.5 → 18 · 2.5 above the line · played 31.3 min · no final price

Jalen Williams · assists 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 38.2 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

OKC vs IND · last 20 games · IND leads · OKC record 9–11 · average score 113.7–116.0 · OKC has lost by 2.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

13 Oct · IND 112 at OKC 114OKC won

What each defense gives up per game

IND gives up114.2 points · 47.9 rebounds · 27.2 assists · 35.5% from three-point range

OKC gives up104.2 points · 44.8 rebounds · 24.4 assists · 32.6% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

IND gives up 114.2 points a game · 18th of 30 · league average 113.4about league average

OKC gives up 104.2 points a game · 2nd of 30 · league average 113.4−9.2 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 75

sds games/date (2025-06-13)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-08)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-19)ok 200 · 32 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-09)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-12)ok 200 · 32 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-11)ok 200 · 33 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-16)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-10)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 37 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 73 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 73 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 73 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 73 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 103 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 116 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 121 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 154 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 174 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 176 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-18)ok 200 · 177 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-17)ok 200 · 178 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-20)ok 200 · 179 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 202 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 201 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 67 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 67 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-14)ok 200 · 244 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-15)ok 200 · 249 ms

sds games/date (2025-06-21)ok 200 · 256 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 273 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 190 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 377 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 712 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 10 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 9 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 8 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 7 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 199 ms

odds player timeline (threes)failed 503 · 198 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 200 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)failed 503 · 200 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 201 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 200 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 202 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 202 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 203 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 203 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 217 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 225 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 258 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 265 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 277 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 285 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 294 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 326 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 334 ms

odds player timeline (assists)failed 503 · 343 ms

odds player timeline (points)failed 503 · 355 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 390 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 392 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 429 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 490 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 504 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 507 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 517 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.