NBA · Jan 21 gameAll props Full sheet

Indiana Pacers at Boston Celtics

FinalIND 104 – BOS 119Page updated 14:56 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes12 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 0 actual

Andrew Nembhard · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → 9 actual

Jarace Walker · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Jay Huff · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Johnny Furphy · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 8 actual

Pascal Siakam · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 4 actual

T.J. McConnell · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 3 actual

Boston Celtics

Derrick White · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Luka Garza · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 8 actual

Neemias Queta · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 9 actual

Payton Pritchard · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 8 actual

Sam Hauser · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 5 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 14:56 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 227 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 9 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

12 other players with a posted line

Pascal Siakam · 3-pointers 1.5 → 4 · 2.5 above the line · played 32.7 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.71

Aaron Nesmith · 3-pointers 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 28.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.74

Jarace Walker · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 29.1 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.71

Jay Huff · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 15.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.87

Sam Hauser · 3-pointers 2.5 → 5 · 2.5 above the line · played 27.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.00

Johnny Furphy · rebounds 4.5 → 8 · 3.5 above the line · played 23.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.69

Derrick White · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 30.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.77, Under 1.95

Payton Pritchard · assists 5.5 → 8 · 2.5 above the line · played 33.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

T.J. McConnell · assists 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 14 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.71

Andrew Nembhard · assists 7.5 → 9 · 1.5 above the line · played 32.9 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Luka Garza · points 7.5 → 8 · 0.5 above the line · played 15.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Neemias Queta · rebounds 8.5 → 9 · 0.5 above the line · played 28.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

BOS vs IND · last 28 games · BOS leads · BOS record 19–9 · average score 120.4–113.6 · BOS has won by 6.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 55

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 136 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 187 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 252 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 414 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 417 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 425 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 430 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 435 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 24 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 574 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 581 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 583 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 584 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 588 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 603 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 467 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 188 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 295 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 325 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 338 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 360 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 401 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 477 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 505 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 509 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 513 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 548 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 552 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 562 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 564 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 579 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 593 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 595 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 607 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1094 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1092 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 765 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 771 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 781 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 785 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 790 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 800 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1104 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1104 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1124 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1232 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1232 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1271 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1272 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1273 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1358 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1400 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1430 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1440 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.