NBA · Feb 22 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Golden State Warriors

FinalDEN 117 – GSW 128Page updated 15:39 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes14 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Cameron Johnson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 5 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 2 actual

Julian Strawther · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

assists 10.5 → 12 actual

Spencer Jones · minutes unknown

points 3.5 → 2 actual

Golden State Warriors

Al Horford · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 6 actual

Brandin Podziemski · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 18 actual

De'Anthony Melton · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Draymond Green · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → no final stat available

Gary Payton II · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 15 actual

Gui Santos · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 5 actual

Kristaps Porziņģis · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → no final stat available

Moses Moody · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 7 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 6 · both teams together expected to score about 228.5 points · odds to win: DEN 1.45, GSW 2.94

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 20:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 15:39 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 299 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 9 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

14 other players with a posted line

Al Horford · 3-pointers 1.5 → 6 · 4.5 above the line · played 27 min · no final price

Cameron Johnson · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 37.9 min · no final price

Moses Moody · rebounds 3.5 → 7 · 3.5 above the line · played 35.2 min · no final price

Gary Payton II · points 8.5 → 15 · 6.5 above the line · played 19.4 min · no final price

Jamal Murray · rebounds 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 33.5 min · no final price

Spencer Jones · points 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 12.9 min · no final price

De'Anthony Melton · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 25 min · no final price

Brandin Podziemski · points 14.5 → 18 · 3.5 above the line · played 36.6 min · no final price

Julian Strawther · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 18.5 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · assists 10.5 → 12 · 1.5 above the line · played 35.9 min · no final price

Christian Braun · rebounds 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 35.1 min · no final price

Gui Santos · rebounds 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 27.8 min · no final price

Draymond Green · 3-pointers 1.5 → no final stat available · no final price

Kristaps Porziņģis · points 15.5 → no final stat available · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

GSW vs DEN · last 27 games · DEN leads · GSW record 10–17 · average score 114.7–115.6 · GSW has lost by 0.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

29 Mar · GSW 93 at DEN 116GSW lost

22 Feb · DEN 117 at GSW 128GSW won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 6, expected total 228.5 (Sun 20:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 20:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 61

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 22 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 24 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 50 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 96 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 96 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 97 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 104 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 104 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 108 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 121 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 124 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 127 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 128 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 130 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 24 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 25 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 128 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 58 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 70 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 106 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 122 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 126 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 208 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 212 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 214 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 216 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 220 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 221 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 229 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 235 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 237 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 238 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 242 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 249 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 250 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 252 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 255 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 257 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 281 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 297 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 300 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 314 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 317 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 441 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 634 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 742 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 777 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 911 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1014 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1015 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1015 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1033 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1034 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1035 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1036 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1036 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1036 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1037 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1036 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1049 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.