NBA · Feb 22 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Golden State Warriors

FinalDEN 117 – GSW 128Page updated 14:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes14 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Cameron Johnson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 5 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 2 actual

Julian Strawther · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

assists 10.5 → 12 actual

Spencer Jones · minutes unknown

points 3.5 → 2 actual

Golden State Warriors

Al Horford · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 6 actual

Brandin Podziemski · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 18 actual

De'Anthony Melton · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Draymond Green · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → no final stat available

Gary Payton II · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 15 actual

Gui Santos · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 5 actual

Kristaps Porziņģis · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → no final stat available

Moses Moody · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 7 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 6 · both teams together expected to score about 228.5 points · odds to win: DEN 1.45, GSW 2.94

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 20:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 14:57 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 299 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 9 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

14 other players with a posted line

Al Horford · 3-pointers 1.5 → 6 · 4.5 above the line · played 27 min · no final price

Cameron Johnson · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 37.9 min · no final price

Moses Moody · rebounds 3.5 → 7 · 3.5 above the line · played 35.2 min · no final price

Gary Payton II · points 8.5 → 15 · 6.5 above the line · played 19.4 min · no final price

Jamal Murray · rebounds 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 33.5 min · no final price

Spencer Jones · points 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 12.9 min · no final price

De'Anthony Melton · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 25 min · no final price

Brandin Podziemski · points 14.5 → 18 · 3.5 above the line · played 36.6 min · no final price

Julian Strawther · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 18.5 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · assists 10.5 → 12 · 1.5 above the line · played 35.9 min · no final price

Christian Braun · rebounds 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 35.1 min · no final price

Gui Santos · rebounds 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 27.8 min · no final price

Draymond Green · 3-pointers 1.5 → no final stat available · no final price

Kristaps Porziņģis · points 15.5 → no final stat available · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

GSW vs DEN · last 27 games · DEN leads · GSW record 10–17 · average score 114.7–115.6 · GSW has lost by 0.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

29 Mar · GSW 93 at DEN 116GSW lost

22 Feb · DEN 117 at GSW 128GSW won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 6, expected total 228.5 (Sun 20:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 20:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 61

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 160 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 197 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 325 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 436 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 443 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 446 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 448 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 19 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 507 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 508 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 508 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 509 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 514 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 516 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 517 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 356 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 223 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 227 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 231 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 236 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 275 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 282 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 290 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 427 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 441 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 465 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 472 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 478 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 482 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 493 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 511 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 514 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 516 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 518 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 522 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 523 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 531 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 533 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 535 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 537 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 544 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1006 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 557 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 559 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 565 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 892 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1995 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2104 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2104 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2104 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 2143 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 2183 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 2212 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2289 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2291 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2289 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 2912 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2454 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2455 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.