NBA · Feb 24 gameAll props Full sheet

Miami Heat at Milwaukee Bucks

FinalMIA 117 – MIL 128Page updated 16:28 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Miami Heat

Andrew Wiggins · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 5 actual

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 8 actual

Pelle Larsson · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 5 actual

Milwaukee Bucks

Jaime Jaquez Jr. · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 9 actual

Jericho Sims · minutes unknown

points + rebounds 9.5 → 18 actual

Kel'el Ware · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 14 actual

Tyler Herro · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 6 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 16:28 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 147 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Andrew Wiggins · assists 2.5 → 5 · 2.5 above the line · played 28.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Jericho Sims · points + rebounds 9.5 → 18 · 8.5 above the line · played 29.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.74

Kel'el Ware · points 7.5 → 14 · 6.5 above the line · played 18.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.60, Under 1.47

Tyler Herro · assists 3.5 → 6 · 2.5 above the line · played 26.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.59

Pelle Larsson · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 35.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Bam Adebayo · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 31.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Jaime Jaquez Jr. · points 11.5 → 9 · 2.5 below the line · played 22 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Davion Mitchell · points 7.5 → 8 · 0.5 above the line · played 28.1 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIL vs MIA · last 38 games · MIL leads · MIL record 20–18 · average score 114.9–112.6 · MIL has won by 2.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

12 Mar · MIL 105 at MIA 112MIL lost

24 Feb · MIA 117 at MIL 128MIL won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 62 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 84 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 187 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 196 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 218 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 236 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 264 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 267 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 267 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 269 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 270 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 210 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 277 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 277 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 44 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 45 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 303 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 81 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 185 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 206 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 213 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 215 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 221 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 225 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pr)ok 200 · 271 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 275 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 301 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 318 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 322 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 333 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 623 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 623 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 931 ms

odds player timeline (pr)ok 200 · 650 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 694 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 696 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 767 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 780 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 780 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 826 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.