NBA · Mar 11 gameAll props Full sheet

Houston Rockets at Denver Nuggets

FinalHOU 93 – DEN 129Page updated 14:57 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 10 actual

Amen Thompson · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 4 actual

Clint Capela · minutes unknown

points 3.5 → 9 actual

Jabari Smith Jr. · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 11 actual

Kevin Durant · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 5 actual

Reed Sheppard · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Tari Eason · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Denver Nuggets

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 14:57 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

HOU also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 146 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Clint Capela · points 3.5 → 9 · 5.5 above the line · played 23.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.71, Under 2.05

Tari Eason · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 21.6 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.71

Alperen Sengun · points 18.5 → 10 · 8.5 below the line · played 24.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.05, Under 1.36

Reed Sheppard · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 27.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Amen Thompson · assists 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 30.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.35, Under 1.56

Jabari Smith Jr. · points 13.5 → 11 · 2.5 below the line · played 27.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.15, Under 1.33

Kevin Durant · assists 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 26 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.85

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs HOU · last 24 games · DEN leads · DEN record 16–8 · average score 115.2–111.2 · DEN has won by 4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

11 Mar · HOU 93 at DEN 129DEN won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 30 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 132 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 132 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 135 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 135 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 134 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 137 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 138 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 141 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 143 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 144 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 7 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 227 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 103 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 696 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 980 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1699 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 19 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 152 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 171 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 309 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 520 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 520 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 520 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 520 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 521 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 521 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.