NBA · Mar 17 gameAll props Full sheet

San Antonio Spurs at Sacramento Kings

FinalSAS 132 – SAC 104Page updated 12:23 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

San Antonio Spurs

Carter Bryant · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

De'Aaron Fox · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 6 actual

Dylan Harper · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 4 actual

Harrison Barnes · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 4 actual

Julian Champagnie · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 5 actual

Keldon Johnson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Stephon Castle · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → 12 actual

Victor Wembanyama · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Sacramento Kings

Maxime Raynaud · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 9 actual

Nique Clifford · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Precious Achiuwa · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 10 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

SAS expected to win by about 29.5 · both teams together expected to score about 230 points · odds to win: SAS 1.00, SAC 30.00

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) and 5 other bookmakers · observed Wed 03:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 12:23 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

SAS also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 236 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Harrison Barnes · 3-pointers 1.5 → 4 · 2.5 above the line · played 21.7 min · no final price

Julian Champagnie · 3-pointers 2.5 → 5 · 2.5 above the line · played 23.5 min · no final price

Nique Clifford · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 36.7 min · no final price

Stephon Castle · assists 7.5 → 12 · 4.5 above the line · played 21.5 min · no final price

Keldon Johnson · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 19.8 min · no final price

Precious Achiuwa · points 14.5 → 10 · 4.5 below the line · played 29.6 min · no final price

Victor Wembanyama · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 22 min · no final price

Carter Bryant · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 20 min · no final price

Dylan Harper · rebounds 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 19.5 min · no final price

De'Aaron Fox · assists 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 21.7 min · no final price

Maxime Raynaud · rebounds 8.5 → 9 · 0.5 above the line · played 41.6 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

SAC vs SAS · last 21 games · SAC leads · SAC record 11–10 · average score 121.0–121.5 · SAC has lost by 0.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

17 Mar · SAS 132 at SAC 104SAC lost

21 Feb · SAC 122 at SAS 139SAC lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had SAS expected to win by 29.5, expected total 230 (Wed 03:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 03:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 22 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 23 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 97 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 99 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 106 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 106 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 108 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 110 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 115 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 119 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 123 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 126 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 126 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 109 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 511 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 539 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 3133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 60 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 75 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 77 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 151 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 181 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 192 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 194 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 196 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 201 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 221 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 234 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 236 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 239 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 247 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 251 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 256 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 261 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 263 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 273 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 504 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 506 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 505 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 506 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 511 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 586 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 591 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 593 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 594 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 594 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 596 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 796 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.